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3rd richest person on December 31?

Market icon

3rd richest person on December 31?

Sergey Brin 41%

Jeff Bezos 30%

Mark Zuckerberg 28%

Jensen Huang 18.3%

Polymarket

$22,861 Vol.

Sergey Brin 41%

Jeff Bezos 30%

Mark Zuckerberg 28%

Jensen Huang 18.3%

Polymarket

$22,861 Vol.

Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on December 31? icon

Sergey Brin

$270 Vol.

31%

Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on December 31? icon

Jeff Bezos

$251 Vol.

21%

Will Mark Zuckerberg be 3rd richest person on December 31? icon

Mark Zuckerberg

$458 Vol.

35%

Will Jensen Huang be 3rd richest person on December 31? icon

Jensen Huang

$644 Vol.

18%

Will Bernard Arnault be 3rd richest person on December 31? icon

Bernard Arnault

$233 Vol.

16%

Will Elon Musk be 3rd richest person on December 31? icon

Elon Musk

$231 Vol.

14%

Will Warren Buffett be 3rd richest person on December 31? icon

Warren Buffett

$765 Vol.

10%

Will Larry Ellison be 3rd richest person on December 31? icon

Larry Ellison

$303 Vol.

21%

Will Larry Page be 3rd richest person on December 31? icon

Larry Page

$6,562 Vol.

20%

Will Steve Ballmer be 3rd richest person on December 31? icon

Steve Ballmer

$13,145 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Mark Zuckerberg a slight 35% implied probability edge over Sergey Brin at 33% to claim third richest by December 31, 2026, reflecting razor-thin margins among tech titans amid volatile AI-driven stock surges. Recent Alphabet shares lifted Brin and Larry Page with daily gains near $5 billion each as of April 17 per Bloomberg Billionaires Index, where Brin currently holds third at $270 billion behind Page's $291 billion and Elon Musk's lead. Zuckerberg's lead stems from Meta's strong Q1 rally alongside Oracle's Ellison (25.6%) climbing on cloud momentum, while Nvidia's Jensen Huang (18.8%) and Bezos (21.5%) trail on projected chip and e-commerce trajectories. Key swings hinge on upcoming earnings, AI breakthroughs, and market rotations through year-end.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$22,861
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Mark Zuckerberg a slight 35% implied probability edge over Sergey Brin at 33% to claim third richest by December 31, 2026, reflecting razor-thin margins among tech titans amid volatile AI-driven stock surges. Recent Alphabet shares lifted Brin and Larry Page with daily gains near $5 billion each as of April 17 per Bloomberg Billionaires Index, where Brin currently holds third at $270 billion behind Page's $291 billion and Elon Musk's lead. Zuckerberg's lead stems from Meta's strong Q1 rally alongside Oracle's Ellison (25.6%) climbing on cloud momentum, while Nvidia's Jensen Huang (18.8%) and Bezos (21.5%) trail on projected chip and e-commerce trajectories. Key swings hinge on upcoming earnings, AI breakthroughs, and market rotations through year-end.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$22,861
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"3rd richest person on December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mark Zuckerberg" at 35%, followed by "Sergey Brin" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3rd richest person on December 31?" has generated $22.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3rd richest person on December 31?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3rd richest person on December 31?" is "Mark Zuckerberg" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sergey Brin" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3rd richest person on December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.