Market icon

2nd place in first round of Texas Republican Senate Primary?

Market icon

2nd place in first round of Texas Republican Senate Primary?

Ken Paxton 99.2%

Wesley Hunt <1%

John Cornyn <1%

Beth Van Duyne <1%

Polymarket

$463,880 Vol.

Ken Paxton 99.2%

Wesley Hunt <1%

John Cornyn <1%

Beth Van Duyne <1%

Polymarket

$463,880 Vol.

Ken Paxton

$73,657 Vol.

99%

Wesley Hunt

$264,473 Vol.

1%

John Cornyn

$125,751 Vol.

<1%

Beth Van Duyne

$0 Vol.

<1%

Dawn Buckingham

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the second-most votes in the first round of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to take place on March 3, 2026.

If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$463,880
End Date
Mar 3, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the second-most votes in the first round of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to take place on March 3, 2026. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2nd place in first round of Texas Republican Senate Primary?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ken Paxton" at 99%, followed by "Wesley Hunt" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2nd place in first round of Texas Republican Senate Primary?" has generated $463.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2nd place in first round of Texas Republican Senate Primary?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2nd place in first round of Texas Republican Senate Primary?" is "Ken Paxton" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Wesley Hunt" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2nd place in first round of Texas Republican Senate Primary?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.