Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Apple at 62% implied probability to hold the No. 2 spot by market capitalization at April's end, driven by its blowout fiscal Q4 earnings on October 31—featuring 6% iPhone revenue growth and record-high services at $25 billion—that propelled shares up 4% and market cap to $3.54 trillion, narrowly atop Microsoft ($3.22 trillion) and Nvidia ($3.10 trillion). Alphabet trails at 25% amid Google Cloud's 35% revenue surge despite margin shortfalls in its October 29 report, bolstering enterprise positioning. Microsoft and Nvidia odds below 3% reflect AI competition risks and lofty valuations, with Nvidia's November 20 earnings as the key near-term catalyst; Saudi Aramco remains sidelined by stable oil at $70/barrel. Markets embed uncertainty around macroeconomic growth and rate paths into these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedApple 64%
Alphabet 27%
Microsoft 2.8%
NVIDIA 2.1%
$311,942 Vol.
$311,942 Vol.

Apple
64%

Alphabet
27%

Microsoft
3%

NVIDIA
2%

Tesla
1%

Amazon
1%

Saudi Aramco
1%
Apple 64%
Alphabet 27%
Microsoft 2.8%
NVIDIA 2.1%
$311,942 Vol.
$311,942 Vol.

Apple
64%

Alphabet
27%

Microsoft
3%

NVIDIA
2%

Tesla
1%

Amazon
1%

Saudi Aramco
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Apple at 62% implied probability to hold the No. 2 spot by market capitalization at April's end, driven by its blowout fiscal Q4 earnings on October 31—featuring 6% iPhone revenue growth and record-high services at $25 billion—that propelled shares up 4% and market cap to $3.54 trillion, narrowly atop Microsoft ($3.22 trillion) and Nvidia ($3.10 trillion). Alphabet trails at 25% amid Google Cloud's 35% revenue surge despite margin shortfalls in its October 29 report, bolstering enterprise positioning. Microsoft and Nvidia odds below 3% reflect AI competition risks and lofty valuations, with Nvidia's November 20 earnings as the key near-term catalyst; Saudi Aramco remains sidelined by stable oil at $70/barrel. Markets embed uncertainty around macroeconomic growth and rate paths into these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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