Name: #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
Start: 2025-11-28T15:12:55.940495Z
End: 2025-12-05T00:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

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Improved notification preferences and types.

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authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

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Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

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#1 Free App

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of October 10, 2025, at 12:00 PM ET.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of October 17, 2025, at 12:00 PM ET.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of October 24, 2025, at 12:00 PM ET.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday.

This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled December 5.

If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled December 5 by December 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.

Will The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if BasedApp's daily builder revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Flowscan, specifically the "Daily Revenue by Builder" bar chart set on "30D" available at https://www.flowscan.xyz/builders?builder=all

This market will resolve once any daily total revenue for BasedApp is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the bar for "31 Dec 2025" is finalized and no bar within the timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value.

The value displayed when hovering over the bar for "Dec 31, 2025" will be considered finalized once any bar for January 1 is published.

Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $1M in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake’s next officially released album debuts at No. 1 on the Billboard 200 albums chart for its first charted week following release. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Drake does not release a new album by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve as soon as Billboard publishes the first chart week in which the album appears.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).

Will Drake's next album debut No.1 on Billboard 200?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the AirTag 2 launches at $29.99 or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the AirTag 2 as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple’s retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release.

If the price differs between configurations, this market will resolve according to the lower price of the version that includes the full standard AirTag 2 model with no additional features, accessories, or services.

A qualifying product must be named "AirTag" and be recognized as a successor to the original AirTag product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new AirTag product released without a number, under a designation other than AirTag 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the AirTag and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

If the AirTag 2 is not released by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Apple Store (online or retail pricing), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Apple TV product by December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying product must be named "Apple TV" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple TV, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple TV product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple TV 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple TV and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.

In order to be considered released, the product must be officially announced by Apple, or otherwise available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone, for example during a WWDC event, will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by December 31?

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesdays at 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve according to the number of consecutive weeks that Stranger Things: Season 5 holds the #1 spot on Netflix's global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com.

If the show does not debut as #1 or is otherwise not released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to the lowest bracket (0). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur on a given week at the scheduled release time, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time for the next week. If no update occurs by that point, this market will resolve according to the number of the most recent previous week where the specified show was at #1.

Consecutive weeks are counted based on Netflix's official weekly Netflix global Top 10 TV shows list publications. 

The resolution source will be based on Netflix's official Netflix global Top 10 TV shows chart.

Will Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 3 straight weeks?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if diVine, the short-form video app backed by Jack Dorsey, has a functional native iOS application publicly available for download in the U.S. by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the app has to be functional, i.e., it must be publicly accessible, installable, and capable of performing its core short-form video functions (such as viewing, uploading, or interacting with videos) in a manner consistent with a normal early-stage launch. Minor bugs or limited features will not disqualify the app so long as core functionality is available to the public.

The application must be officially released by diVine or through official diVine communication channels.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from diVine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final trading day of 2025.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Will Apple (AAPL) close at $280–285 in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the news topic ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search list for 2025, published on Google’s Year in Search hub.

The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search (navigate: Global → Trending → News), where the 2025 page will appear once released (the 2024 page currently shows the Global “News” ranking).

If the listed market topic and Google’s #1 topic are reasonably closely related in ordinary usage, i.e., one is an umbrella for the other, one is a specific sub-event of the other, or they are clear synonyms/aliases (including abbreviations, misspellings, or equivalent phrasing), then it counts for resolution. For example, “Rafah offensive” counts for “Gaza–Israel conflict,” and “U.S. strikes on Iran” counts for “Israel–Iran conflict.” By contrast, distinct contemporaneous topics that merely influence one another do not count for each other unless Google itself lists them as a single combined topic (e.g., “NVIDIA stock plunge” does not count for “DeepSeek R1 launch”).

This market may resolve as soon as the official 2025 data is released for the specified timeframe. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 in the respective list, or if Google does not release the 2025 Year in Search by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.

Interim CEOs will not qualify.

If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.

Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?

This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search list for 2025, published on Google’s Year in Search hub.

The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/
 (navigate: Global → Trending → People), where the 2025 page will appear once released (as the 2024 page currently shows the Global “People” ranking).

This market may resolve as soon as the official 2025 data is released for the specified timeframe. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 in the respective list or if Google does not release the 2025 Year in Search by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new AirTag product by December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying product must be named "AirTag" and be recognized as a successor to the original AirTag product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new AirTag product released without a number, under a designation other than AirTag 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the AirTag and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grok has a native macOS desktop application publicly available for download in the U.S by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The application must be officially released by xAI (or Elon Musk via official xAI/Grok communication channels).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a Justin Bieber song reaches #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 between September 4 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be Billboard.com.

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?

ChatGPT
$83,766 Vol.
43%
0123456789
0123456789
%

Shop: All your favorite brands
$6,606 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Google Gemini
$6,415 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Grok
$3,194 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
$12,956 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Threads
$13,517 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

GoWish - Your Digital Wishlist
$21,051 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

CapCut - Video Editor
$14,419 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Sora
$12,333 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Google
$2,308 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Market Context

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?

Rules

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?

Market Context

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?

About

Related

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?

ChatGPT$83,766 Vol.43%01234567890123456789%buy Yes47.5¢buy No62.4¢

Shop: All your favorite brands$6,606 Vol.3%0123456789%buy Yes6.0¢buy No99.1¢

Google Gemini$6,415 Vol.2%0123456789%buy Yes2.5¢buy No99.3¢

Grok$3,194 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.9¢buy No0.0¢

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire$12,956 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.7¢buy No0.0¢

Threads$13,517 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.4¢buy No0.0¢

GoWish - Your Digital Wishlist$21,051 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

CapCut - Video Editor$14,419 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.2¢buy No0.0¢

Sora$12,333 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.2¢buy No0.0¢

Google$2,308 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.1¢buy No0.0¢

Market Context

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?

Rules

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?

Market Context

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?

About

Related

ChatGPT
$83,766 Vol.
43%
0123456789
0123456789
%

Shop: All your favorite brands
$6,606 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Google Gemini
$6,415 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Grok
$3,194 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
$12,956 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Threads
$13,517 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

GoWish - Your Digital Wishlist
$21,051 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

CapCut - Video Editor
$14,419 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Sora
$12,333 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Google
$2,308 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%