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Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York

Market icon
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York

Bruce Blakeman 92%

Pat Hahn 3.8%

Elise Stefanik 2.0%

David Tulley <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Bruce Blakeman 92%

Pat Hahn 3.8%

Elise Stefanik 2.0%

David Tulley <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Bruce Blakeman

$0 Vol.

92%

Pat Hahn

$0 Vol.

4%

Elise Stefanik

$0 Vol.

2%

David Tulley

$0 Vol.

1%

Betsy McCaughey

$1,826 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Bruce Blakeman holds a commanding 92% implied probability as the New York Republican gubernatorial primary frontrunner, driven by his incumbency as Nassau County Executive, robust fundraising exceeding $2 million early, and endorsements from key GOP figures like former Governor George Pataki. Recent polls, including a Siena College survey showing him leading statewide Republicans by 30+ points, underscore his appeal in suburban swing areas critical for the June 2026 primary. Challengers like Pat Hahn and Elise Stefanik trail amid limited campaign infrastructure and Stefanik's focus on her congressional reelection. While late-breaking scandals, a high-profile defection, or Stefanik's full pivot could erode his edge, traders view the field as thin absent major disruptions.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$1,826
Fecha de finalización
Jun 23, 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Bruce Blakeman holds a commanding 92% implied probability as the New York Republican gubernatorial primary frontrunner, driven by his incumbency as Nassau County Executive, robust fundraising exceeding $2 million early, and endorsements from key GOP figures like former Governor George Pataki. Recent polls, including a Siena College survey showing him leading statewide Republicans by 30+ points, underscore his appeal in suburban swing areas critical for the June 2026 primary. Challengers like Pat Hahn and Elise Stefanik trail amid limited campaign infrastructure and Stefanik's focus on her congressional reelection. While late-breaking scandals, a high-profile defection, or Stefanik's full pivot could erode his edge, traders view the field as thin absent major disruptions.

Bruce Blakeman holds a commanding 92% implied probability as the New York Republican gubernatorial primary frontrunner, driven by his incumbency as Nassau County Executive, robust fundraising exceeding $2 million early, and endorsements from key GOP figures like former Governor George Pataki. Recent polls, including a Siena College survey showing him leading statewide Republicans by 30+ points, underscore his appeal in suburban swing areas critical for the June 2026 primary. Challengers like Pat Hahn and Elise Stefanik trail amid limited campaign infrastructure and Stefanik's focus on her congressional reelection. While late-breaking scandals, a high-profile defection, or Stefanik's full pivot could erode his edge, traders view the field as thin absent major disruptions.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Bruce Blakeman" con 92%, seguido de "Pat Hahn" con 4%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 92¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 92% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Dec 4, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York" es "Bruce Blakeman" con 92%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 92% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Pat Hahn" con 4%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Nueva York" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.