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Economía·Política Económica

¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en abril?

Market icon
Economía·Política Económica

¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en abril?

abr 30

jun 30

abr 30

jun 30

Aumento 80%

Sin cambios 20%

Disminución 1.7%

Polymarket

$47,365 Vol.

Aumento 80%

Sin cambios 20%

Disminución 1.7%

Polymarket

$47,365 Vol.

Disminución

$28,802 Vol.

2%

Sin cambios

$7,488 Vol.

20%

Aumento

$11,075 Vol.

80%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 79% implied probability of a Banco de la República rate increase at its April 30, 2026 meeting, reflecting persistent inflation pressures after March 2026 CPI accelerated to 5.56% year-over-year—above forecasts of 5.47% and up from February's 5.29%, the highest in 18 months. Core inflation also rose, alongside wage hikes and energy risks, prompting the bank's aggressive tightening with back-to-back 100 basis point hikes to the current 11.25% policy rate in January and March despite government criticism and a board rift. No-change odds at 18.5% capture potential pause debates, while cuts at 1.9% appear improbable amid upside inflation risks; watch April's Monetary Policy Report for forward guidance.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.

This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$47,365
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 79% implied probability of a Banco de la República rate increase at its April 30, 2026 meeting, reflecting persistent inflation pressures after March 2026 CPI accelerated to 5.56% year-over-year—above forecasts of 5.47% and up from February's 5.29%, the highest in 18 months. Core inflation also rose, alongside wage hikes and energy risks, prompting the bank's aggressive tightening with back-to-back 100 basis point hikes to the current 11.25% policy rate in January and March despite government criticism and a board rift. No-change odds at 18.5% capture potential pause debates, while cuts at 1.9% appear improbable amid upside inflation risks; watch April's Monetary Policy Report for forward guidance.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.

This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$47,365
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en abril?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Aumento" con 80%, seguido de "Sin cambios" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 80¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 80% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en abril?" ha generado $47.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 31, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en abril?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en abril?" es "Aumento" con 80%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 80% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Sin cambios" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en abril?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.