Trader consensus clusters around 50-55°F for Seattle's March 26 high temperature, driven primarily by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a sunny day with a high near 52°F amid a building high-pressure ridge. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement at 51-54°F, reflecting reduced uncertainty from stabilizing upper-air patterns and minimal marine layer intrusion. Differentiating the top bins—52-53°F (27.5%) edges out 54-55°F (24.5%) and 50-51°F (23.5%)—hinges on boundary layer mixing from afternoon westerly winds (15-20 mph), which could cap peaks via coastal advection cooling, while historical late-March norms average 54°F amid 10-15% interannual variability. Key watch: evening model updates ahead of the event.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seattle am 26. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Seattle am 26. März?
52-53°F 27%
54-55°F 26%
50-51°F 23%
48-49°F 20%
43°F oder niedriger
2%
44-45°F
2%
46-47°F
4%
48-49°F
20%
50-51°F
23%
52-53°F
27%
54-55°F
26%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
4%
62°F oder höher
2%
52-53°F 27%
54-55°F 26%
50-51°F 23%
48-49°F 20%
43°F oder niedriger
2%
44-45°F
2%
46-47°F
4%
48-49°F
20%
50-51°F
23%
52-53°F
27%
54-55°F
26%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
4%
62°F oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 50-55°F for Seattle's March 26 high temperature, driven primarily by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a sunny day with a high near 52°F amid a building high-pressure ridge. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement at 51-54°F, reflecting reduced uncertainty from stabilizing upper-air patterns and minimal marine layer intrusion. Differentiating the top bins—52-53°F (27.5%) edges out 54-55°F (24.5%) and 50-51°F (23.5%)—hinges on boundary layer mixing from afternoon westerly winds (15-20 mph), which could cap peaks via coastal advection cooling, while historical late-March norms average 54°F amid 10-15% interannual variability. Key watch: evening model updates ahead of the event.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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