Latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converge on a high near 51°F for Central Park on March 23, fueled by a deep cool air mass with 850mb temperatures around -2°C and light northerly winds limiting mixing, positioning 51°F or below (39%) and 52-53°F (29%) as top outcomes. Recent developments include a reinforcing cold front overnight, with morning soundings from Upton confirming stable boundary layer conditions, while GFS updates show minimal warm advection. Historical March averages hover at 52°F, but urban heat island effects offer slim upside risk; traders eye afternoon satellite imagery and 18Z model runs for shifts, as small diurnal variances could tip resolutions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in NYC on March 23?
Highest temperature in NYC on March 23?
51°F or below 41%
52-53°F 29%
54-55°F 16%
56-57°F 12%
$16,230 Vol.
$16,230 Vol.
51°F or below
41%
52-53°F
29%
54-55°F
16%
56-57°F
12%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70°F or higher
<1%
51°F or below 41%
52-53°F 29%
54-55°F 16%
56-57°F 12%
$16,230 Vol.
$16,230 Vol.
51°F or below
41%
52-53°F
29%
54-55°F
16%
56-57°F
12%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converge on a high near 51°F for Central Park on March 23, fueled by a deep cool air mass with 850mb temperatures around -2°C and light northerly winds limiting mixing, positioning 51°F or below (39%) and 52-53°F (29%) as top outcomes. Recent developments include a reinforcing cold front overnight, with morning soundings from Upton confirming stable boundary layer conditions, while GFS updates show minimal warm advection. Historical March averages hover at 52°F, but urban heat island effects offer slim upside risk; traders eye afternoon satellite imagery and 18Z model runs for shifts, as small diurnal variances could tip resolutions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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