Trader sentiment on Munich's March 26 high temperature clusters tightly around 3-7°C, with 4°C and 5°C edging ahead at 18% implied odds each, primarily driven by the latest ECMWF and DWD ICON ensemble forecasts converging on a mean peak of about 4.5°C amid persistent northerly airflow channeling cool continental air. This setup features a shallow high-pressure ridge weakening under an approaching Atlantic front, limiting diurnal warming despite partial sunshine; model spread of ±2°C reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon cloud timing. Compared to the 11-12°C climatological March 26 norm at Munich Airport station, the current -6°C anomaly underscores a chilly late-winter pattern, with final resolution hinging on observed maxima from official DWD measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Munich on March 26?
Highest temperature in Munich on March 26?
4°C 18%
5°C 18%
3°C 18%
6°C 18%
-1°C or below
2%
0°C
8%
1°C
14%
2°C
17%
3°C
18%
4°C
18%
5°C
18%
6°C
18%
7°C
18%
8°C
17%
9°C or higher
2%
4°C 18%
5°C 18%
3°C 18%
6°C 18%
-1°C or below
2%
0°C
8%
1°C
14%
2°C
17%
3°C
18%
4°C
18%
5°C
18%
6°C
18%
7°C
18%
8°C
17%
9°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Munich's March 26 high temperature clusters tightly around 3-7°C, with 4°C and 5°C edging ahead at 18% implied odds each, primarily driven by the latest ECMWF and DWD ICON ensemble forecasts converging on a mean peak of about 4.5°C amid persistent northerly airflow channeling cool continental air. This setup features a shallow high-pressure ridge weakening under an approaching Atlantic front, limiting diurnal warming despite partial sunshine; model spread of ±2°C reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon cloud timing. Compared to the 11-12°C climatological March 26 norm at Munich Airport station, the current -6°C anomaly underscores a chilly late-winter pattern, with final resolution hinging on observed maxima from official DWD measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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