Trader sentiment favors 14°C (30%) and 13°C (26.5%) for Munich's highest temperature on March 24, propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering at 13-14°C amid a building high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly winds and above-average insolation. DWD forecasts corroborate this with daytime maxes of 12-15°C under partly cloudy skies, edging out 15°C (21%) and 12°C (19%) probabilities through refined model depictions of minimal frontal interference in the past 24 hours. Late-March climatology averages 11-13°C, but current +2-3°C anomalies and shallow boundary layer mixing differentiate warmer outcomes, while 16°C+ remains slim due to capped 850 hPa temperatures around 5°C. Model spread of ±2°C underscores resolution uncertainty until final DWD observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 24. März?
Höchste Temperatur in München am 24. März?
14°C 30%
13°C 19%
15°C 17%
9°C 10%
6°C oder niedriger
3%
7°C
3%
8°C
1%
9°C
10%
10°C
2%
11°C
12%
12°C
19%
13°C
26%
14°C
30%
15°C
21%
16°C oder höher
16%
14°C 30%
13°C 19%
15°C 17%
9°C 10%
6°C oder niedriger
3%
7°C
3%
8°C
1%
9°C
10%
10°C
2%
11°C
12%
12°C
19%
13°C
26%
14°C
30%
15°C
21%
16°C oder höher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors 14°C (30%) and 13°C (26.5%) for Munich's highest temperature on March 24, propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering at 13-14°C amid a building high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly winds and above-average insolation. DWD forecasts corroborate this with daytime maxes of 12-15°C under partly cloudy skies, edging out 15°C (21%) and 12°C (19%) probabilities through refined model depictions of minimal frontal interference in the past 24 hours. Late-March climatology averages 11-13°C, but current +2-3°C anomalies and shallow boundary layer mixing differentiate warmer outcomes, while 16°C+ remains slim due to capped 850 hPa temperatures around 5°C. Model spread of ±2°C underscores resolution uncertainty until final DWD observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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