Latest ensemble weather model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS pinpoint 13°C as the peak temperature in Munich on March 23, driving its 44.5% implied probability, with 12°C close behind at 30.5% amid mild high-pressure influence over Central Europe. Current synoptic patterns feature a blocking ridge channeling warmer Atlantic air, tempering earlier cooler outlooks from Scandinavian troughs. Recent DWD updates and hourly soundings confirm near-surface stability and light southerlies boosting daytime highs to 12-14°C range, aligning with March climatology (historical max average 12.5°C). Trader sentiment reflects convergence in 00Z runs, though diurnal variability and cloud cover introduce uncertainty ahead of final observations from Munich Airport station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 23. März?
Höchste Temperatur in München am 23. März?
13°C 46%
12°C 29%
14°C 16%
15°C 3.2%
$30,911 Vol.
$30,911 Vol.
6°C oder niedriger
1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
29%
13°C
46%
14°C
16%
15°C
3%
16°C oder höher
2%
13°C 46%
12°C 29%
14°C 16%
15°C 3.2%
$30,911 Vol.
$30,911 Vol.
6°C oder niedriger
1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
29%
13°C
46%
14°C
16%
15°C
3%
16°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble weather model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS pinpoint 13°C as the peak temperature in Munich on March 23, driving its 44.5% implied probability, with 12°C close behind at 30.5% amid mild high-pressure influence over Central Europe. Current synoptic patterns feature a blocking ridge channeling warmer Atlantic air, tempering earlier cooler outlooks from Scandinavian troughs. Recent DWD updates and hourly soundings confirm near-surface stability and light southerlies boosting daytime highs to 12-14°C range, aligning with March climatology (historical max average 12.5°C). Trader sentiment reflects convergence in 00Z runs, though diurnal variability and cloud cover introduce uncertainty ahead of final observations from Munich Airport station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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