Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

23%

chance

$21m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

47%

chance

$2m Vol.

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

January 18

45%

January 23

61%

January 18

45%

January 23

61%

$21m Vol.

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? card icon

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

13%

chance

$85k Vol.

Weibo Gaming

11%

Invictus Gaming

90%

Game 2 • Best of 3

$506k Vol.

•LEAGUE OF-LEGENDS

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? card icon

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

18%

chance

$8m Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

49%

chance

$8m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Seattle

24%

Los Angeles R

20%

Seattle

24%

Los Angeles R

20%

$673m Vol.

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...? card icon

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

March 31

6%

May 14

10%

March 31

6%

May 14

10%

$358k Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets January 12 - January 14, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 12 - January 14, 2026?

65-89

9%

90-114

63%

65-89

9%

90-114

63%

$2m Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)

66%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

19%

António José Seguro (IND)

66%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

19%

$101m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Pam Bondi

29%

Kristi Noem

14%

Pam Bondi

29%

Kristi Noem

14%

$868k Vol.

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? card icon

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

27%

chance

$3m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

39%

Kevin Hassett

38%

Kevin Warsh

39%

Kevin Hassett

38%

$183m Vol.

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 14

11%

January 15

13%

January 14

11%

January 15

13%

$967k Vol.

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? card icon

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

72%

chance

$413k Vol.

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price card icon

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price

>$4m

99%

>$5m

98%

>$4m

99%

>$5m

98%

$5m Vol.

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

4%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

4%

$324m Vol.

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? card icon

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

29%

chance

$2m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

28%

Gavin Newsom

19%

JD Vance

28%

Gavin Newsom

19%

$186m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

41%

chance

$6m Vol.

Bitcoin above ___ on January 14? card icon

Bitcoin above ___ on January 14?

82,000

100%

84,000

100%

82,000

100%

84,000

100%

$4m Vol.

Venezuela leader end of 2026? card icon

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Delcy Rodríguez

54%

María Corina Machado

21%

Delcy Rodríguez

54%

María Corina Machado

21%

$6m Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

52%

Marco Rubio

16%

J.D. Vance

52%

Marco Rubio

16%

$182m Vol.

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