Skip to main content

Israel Election predictions & odds

·
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

13%

$607 Vol.

$28.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

44%

25-29

$76 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

73%

$12 Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

14%

$722 Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

42%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$6M Vol.

$134K today

$627K Liq.

197

Ends in 8 months

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

44%

$21 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

39%

$435 Vol.

$24.6K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

4%

$12M Vol.

$683K today

$318K Liq.

1

Ends in 30 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

<1%

$53M Vol.

$494K today

$2M Liq.

4

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

9%

$35M Vol.

$287K today

$519K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

22%

$16M Vol.

$98.4K today

$336K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

92%

$641K Vol.

$48.2K Liq.

62

Ends in about 2 months

Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

15%

June 30

$929K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

22

Ends in about 2 months

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$120M Vol.

$79.4K today

$552K Liq.

33

Ends in 8 months

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

12%

May 31

$798K Vol.

$32.8K Liq.

44

Ends in 30 days

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

35%

Lula da Silva <5%

$228K Vol.

$99.0K Liq.

10

Ends in 5 months

Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner

85%

DMK

$20M Vol.

$3M today

$375K Liq.

478

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

60%

Labour

$5 Vol.

$27.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

28%

Labour 5-10%

$0 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

13%

$61.9K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

32

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Israel Election.

Polymarket currently hosts 112 active markets for Israel Election that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $264.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Israel Election predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.