Market icon

天然气是否会在4月底前__到来?

Market icon

天然气是否会在4月底前__到来?

4月 30

4月 30

最新

$121,585 交易量

2026-04-30
Polymarket

$121,585 交易量

Polymarket

↑ $5.00

$1,751 交易量

6%

↑ $4.75

$196 交易量

16%

↑ $4.50

$672 交易量

42%

↑ $4.25

$2,938 交易量

67%

↑ $4.15

$1,825 交易量

93%

↓ $3.95

$1,531 交易量

68%

↓ $3.85

$1,796 交易量

37%

↓ $3.75

$437 交易量

13%

↓ $3.50

$0 交易量

8%

↓ $3.25

$0 交易量

7%

↓ $3.00

$488 交易量

6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".The U.S. national average retail gasoline price has surged above $4 per gallon to $4.06 as of April 1, per AAA data, marking the highest level since 2022 and reflecting a 34% monthly increase amid escalating Middle East tensions from U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran and disruptions to oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Crude oil benchmarks like WTI have climbed over $100 per barrel on supply fears, overriding earlier EIA forecasts for sub-$3 averages in 2026. Traders eye sustained pressure from rising seasonal demand during spring break and summer driving season starts, alongside weekly EIA petroleum status reports (next April 7-8) tracking gasoline inventories and refinery utilization, with potential for de-escalation or further geopolitical shocks to sway prices by April 30 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
交易量
$121,585
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".The U.S. national average retail gasoline price has surged above $4 per gallon to $4.06 as of April 1, per AAA data, marking the highest level since 2022 and reflecting a 34% monthly increase amid escalating Middle East tensions from U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran and disruptions to oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Crude oil benchmarks like WTI have climbed over $100 per barrel on supply fears, overriding earlier EIA forecasts for sub-$3 averages in 2026. Traders eye sustained pressure from rising seasonal demand during spring break and summer driving season starts, alongside weekly EIA petroleum status reports (next April 7-8) tracking gasoline inventories and refinery utilization, with potential for de-escalation or further geopolitical shocks to sway prices by April 30 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
交易量
$121,585
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"天然气是否会在4月底前__到来?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 12 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"↑ 4.05美元",概率为 100%,其次是"↑ $4.15",概率为 93%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"天然气是否会在4月底前__到来?"已产生 $121.6K 的总交易量(自Mar 31, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"天然气是否会在4月底前__到来?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 12 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"天然气是否会在4月底前__到来?"的当前领先者是"↑ 4.05美元",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"↑ $4.15",概率为 93%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"天然气是否会在4月底前__到来?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。