US gasoline prices have surged past $4 per gallon nationally—the highest since 2022—driven by the US-Israel military conflict with Iran that erupted in late February 2026, severely disrupting oil supplies and pushing crude benchmarks above $100 per barrel. This marks a 30% rise since early March, outpacing pre-war EIA forecasts of sub-$3 averages amid heightened refinery margins and spring driving season demand. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over conflict escalation, potential Strait of Hormuz blockades, or diplomatic breakthroughs, with seasonal peaks and discussions of state fuel tax suspensions as key near-term catalysts before April 30 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
$123,007 交易量
2026-04-30
↑ $5.00
5%
↑ $4.75
16%
↑ $4.50
42%
↑ $4.25
72%
↑ $4.15
96%
↓ $3.95
65%
↓ $3.85
37%
↓ $3.75
11%
↓ $3.50
8%
↓ $3.25
7%
↓ $3.00
6%
$123,007 交易量
↑ $5.00
$1,774 交易量
5%
↑ $4.75
$196 交易量
16%
↑ $4.50
$690 交易量
42%
↑ $4.25
$3,511 交易量
72%
↑ $4.15
$2,456 交易量
96%
↓ $3.95
$1,531 交易量
65%
↓ $3.85
$1,796 交易量
37%
↓ $3.75
$437 交易量
11%
↓ $3.50
$0 交易量
8%
↓ $3.25
$0 交易量
7%
↓ $3.00
$488 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US gasoline prices have surged past $4 per gallon nationally—the highest since 2022—driven by the US-Israel military conflict with Iran that erupted in late February 2026, severely disrupting oil supplies and pushing crude benchmarks above $100 per barrel. This marks a 30% rise since early March, outpacing pre-war EIA forecasts of sub-$3 averages amid heightened refinery margins and spring driving season demand. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over conflict escalation, potential Strait of Hormuz blockades, or diplomatic breakthroughs, with seasonal peaks and discussions of state fuel tax suspensions as key near-term catalysts before April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
交易量
$123,007结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US gasoline prices have surged past $4 per gallon nationally—the highest since 2022—driven by the US-Israel military conflict with Iran that erupted in late February 2026, severely disrupting oil supplies and pushing crude benchmarks above $100 per barrel. This marks a 30% rise since early March, outpacing pre-war EIA forecasts of sub-$3 averages amid heightened refinery margins and spring driving season demand. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over conflict escalation, potential Strait of Hormuz blockades, or diplomatic breakthroughs, with seasonal peaks and discussions of state fuel tax suspensions as key near-term catalysts before April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
交易量
$123,007结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
US gasoline prices have surged past $4 per gallon nationally—the highest since 2022—driven by the US-Israel military conflict with Iran that erupted in late February 2026, severely disrupting oil supplies and pushing crude benchmarks above $100 per barrel. This marks a 30% rise since early March, outpacing pre-war EIA forecasts of sub-$3 averages amid heightened refinery margins and spring driving season demand. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over conflict escalation, potential Strait of Hormuz blockades, or diplomatic breakthroughs, with seasonal peaks and discussions of state fuel tax suspensions as key near-term catalysts before April 30 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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