Incumbent Democrat Henry Cuellar secured his party's nomination in the March 3, 2026, primary with a clear majority, positioning him to defend the seat against Republican nominee Tano Tijerina in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reinforced by recent redistricting outcomes and historical voting patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 68.5%. Cuellar's long incumbency since 2005 and prior legal resolution via presidential pardon have stabilized his standing, while Tijerina's primary win as a local official has not yet shifted broader momentum. With the general election still months away, upcoming campaign developments and turnout dynamics in South Texas remain key variables that could influence final probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
68%
共和党
31%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$1,055 交易量
68%
共和党
$231 交易量
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Henry Cuellar secured his party's nomination in the March 3, 2026, primary with a clear majority, positioning him to defend the seat against Republican nominee Tano Tijerina in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reinforced by recent redistricting outcomes and historical voting patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 68.5%. Cuellar's long incumbency since 2005 and prior legal resolution via presidential pardon have stabilized his standing, while Tijerina's primary win as a local official has not yet shifted broader momentum. With the general election still months away, upcoming campaign developments and turnout dynamics in South Texas remain key variables that could influence final probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$1,286结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Henry Cuellar secured his party's nomination in the March 3, 2026, primary with a clear majority, positioning him to defend the seat against Republican nominee Tano Tijerina in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reinforced by recent redistricting outcomes and historical voting patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 68.5%. Cuellar's long incumbency since 2005 and prior legal resolution via presidential pardon have stabilized his standing, while Tijerina's primary win as a local official has not yet shifted broader momentum. With the general election still months away, upcoming campaign developments and turnout dynamics in South Texas remain key variables that could influence final probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,286结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Henry Cuellar secured his party's nomination in the March 3, 2026, primary with a clear majority, positioning him to defend the seat against Republican nominee Tano Tijerina in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reinforced by recent redistricting outcomes and historical voting patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 68.5%. Cuellar's long incumbency since 2005 and prior legal resolution via presidential pardon have stabilized his standing, while Tijerina's primary win as a local official has not yet shifted broader momentum. With the general election still months away, upcoming campaign developments and turnout dynamics in South Texas remain key variables that could influence final probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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