Democratic Rep. Henry Cuellar’s incumbency and decisive March 2026 primary win position the party as the clear favorite in Texas’s 28th district, a South Texas seat with a modest Democratic tilt reflected in recent nonpartisan ratings. Republican nominee Tano Tijerina, who secured his party’s nomination in the same primary cycle, confronts structural headwinds including the district’s voting patterns and Cuellar’s established local profile. Traders appear to price in the incumbent’s advantages while leaving room for shifts from national midterm dynamics, turnout in border counties, or late-campaign developments before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
76%
共和党
36%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$1,067 交易量
76%
共和党
$342 交易量
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Henry Cuellar’s incumbency and decisive March 2026 primary win position the party as the clear favorite in Texas’s 28th district, a South Texas seat with a modest Democratic tilt reflected in recent nonpartisan ratings. Republican nominee Tano Tijerina, who secured his party’s nomination in the same primary cycle, confronts structural headwinds including the district’s voting patterns and Cuellar’s established local profile. Traders appear to price in the incumbent’s advantages while leaving room for shifts from national midterm dynamics, turnout in border counties, or late-campaign developments before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$1,410结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Henry Cuellar’s incumbency and decisive March 2026 primary win position the party as the clear favorite in Texas’s 28th district, a South Texas seat with a modest Democratic tilt reflected in recent nonpartisan ratings. Republican nominee Tano Tijerina, who secured his party’s nomination in the same primary cycle, confronts structural headwinds including the district’s voting patterns and Cuellar’s established local profile. Traders appear to price in the incumbent’s advantages while leaving room for shifts from national midterm dynamics, turnout in border counties, or late-campaign developments before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,410结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Rep. Henry Cuellar’s incumbency and decisive March 2026 primary win position the party as the clear favorite in Texas’s 28th district, a South Texas seat with a modest Democratic tilt reflected in recent nonpartisan ratings. Republican nominee Tano Tijerina, who secured his party’s nomination in the same primary cycle, confronts structural headwinds including the district’s voting patterns and Cuellar’s established local profile. Traders appear to price in the incumbent’s advantages while leaving room for shifts from national midterm dynamics, turnout in border counties, or late-campaign developments before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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