Former South Korean Justice Minister Park Sung-jae remains free pending trial on insurrection and abuse-of-power charges tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, driving trader consensus to 99.8% "No" on incarceration by March 31, 2026. Courts rejected special counsel's pretrial detention warrants in October and November 2025, citing inadequate evidence of flight risk or evidence destruction, with Park denying complicity and asserting he opposed the emergency measure. His first trial, underway since early 2026, is slated to wrap as early as mid-April without interim custody ordered. While late-breaking arrest warrant approval or expedited conviction could theoretically shift outcomes, judicial precedents and procedural timelines render such scenarios improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$29,110 交易量
$29,110 交易量
2026-03-31
是
$29,110 交易量
$29,110 交易量
2026-03-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Park Sung-jae spends any time in custody in a jail or prison by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former South Korean Justice Minister Park Sung-jae remains free pending trial on insurrection and abuse-of-power charges tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, driving trader consensus to 99.8% "No" on incarceration by March 31, 2026. Courts rejected special counsel's pretrial detention warrants in October and November 2025, citing inadequate evidence of flight risk or evidence destruction, with Park denying complicity and asserting he opposed the emergency measure. His first trial, underway since early 2026, is slated to wrap as early as mid-April without interim custody ordered. While late-breaking arrest warrant approval or expedited conviction could theoretically shift outcomes, judicial precedents and procedural timelines render such scenarios improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Park Sung-jae spends any time in custody in a jail or prison by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 14, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
交易量
$29,110结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Jan 14, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Park Sung-jae spends any time in custody in a jail or prison by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former South Korean Justice Minister Park Sung-jae remains free pending trial on insurrection and abuse-of-power charges tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, driving trader consensus to 99.8% "No" on incarceration by March 31, 2026. Courts rejected special counsel's pretrial detention warrants in October and November 2025, citing inadequate evidence of flight risk or evidence destruction, with Park denying complicity and asserting he opposed the emergency measure. His first trial, underway since early 2026, is slated to wrap as early as mid-April without interim custody ordered. While late-breaking arrest warrant approval or expedited conviction could theoretically shift outcomes, judicial precedents and procedural timelines render such scenarios improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Park Sung-jae spends any time in custody in a jail or prison by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$29,110结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Jan 14, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former South Korean Justice Minister Park Sung-jae remains free pending trial on insurrection and abuse-of-power charges tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, driving trader consensus to 99.8% "No" on incarceration by March 31, 2026. Courts rejected special counsel's pretrial detention warrants in October and November 2025, citing inadequate evidence of flight risk or evidence destruction, with Park denying complicity and asserting he opposed the emergency measure. His first trial, underway since early 2026, is slated to wrap as early as mid-April without interim custody ordered. While late-breaking arrest warrant approval or expedited conviction could theoretically shift outcomes, judicial precedents and procedural timelines render such scenarios improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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