In Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District, trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 72% implied probability to win the November general election, driven by Janelle Stelson's strong positioning as the likely nominee after narrowly losing to incumbent Republican Scott Perry by under 2% in 2024. Recent candidate filings on March 10 solidified a contested Democratic primary on May 19 featuring Stelson—bolstered by Gov. Josh Shapiro's endorsement, DCCC "Red to Blue" inclusion, and $1.5 million cash on hand matching Perry's—against challengers like Justin Douglas, while Perry faces intraparty rivals. Cook Political Report's Toss-up rating underscores the battleground dynamics, with Perry's vulnerability amplified by fundraising parity and historical competitiveness, though GOP primary outcomes could shift momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
73%
共和党
28%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
$0 交易量
73%
共和党
$0 交易量
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District, trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 72% implied probability to win the November general election, driven by Janelle Stelson's strong positioning as the likely nominee after narrowly losing to incumbent Republican Scott Perry by under 2% in 2024. Recent candidate filings on March 10 solidified a contested Democratic primary on May 19 featuring Stelson—bolstered by Gov. Josh Shapiro's endorsement, DCCC "Red to Blue" inclusion, and $1.5 million cash on hand matching Perry's—against challengers like Justin Douglas, while Perry faces intraparty rivals. Cook Political Report's Toss-up rating underscores the battleground dynamics, with Perry's vulnerability amplified by fundraising parity and historical competitiveness, though GOP primary outcomes could shift momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 4, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District, trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 72% implied probability to win the November general election, driven by Janelle Stelson's strong positioning as the likely nominee after narrowly losing to incumbent Republican Scott Perry by under 2% in 2024. Recent candidate filings on March 10 solidified a contested Democratic primary on May 19 featuring Stelson—bolstered by Gov. Josh Shapiro's endorsement, DCCC "Red to Blue" inclusion, and $1.5 million cash on hand matching Perry's—against challengers like Justin Douglas, while Perry faces intraparty rivals. Cook Political Report's Toss-up rating underscores the battleground dynamics, with Perry's vulnerability amplified by fundraising parity and historical competitiveness, though GOP primary outcomes could shift momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 4, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District, trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 72% implied probability to win the November general election, driven by Janelle Stelson's strong positioning as the likely nominee after narrowly losing to incumbent Republican Scott Perry by under 2% in 2024. Recent candidate filings on March 10 solidified a contested Democratic primary on May 19 featuring Stelson—bolstered by Gov. Josh Shapiro's endorsement, DCCC "Red to Blue" inclusion, and $1.5 million cash on hand matching Perry's—against challengers like Justin Douglas, while Perry faces intraparty rivals. Cook Political Report's Toss-up rating underscores the battleground dynamics, with Perry's vulnerability amplified by fundraising parity and historical competitiveness, though GOP primary outcomes could shift momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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