Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 87.5% implied probability for the OH-14 House seat due to the district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index under Ohio's new 2025 congressional map and incumbent Rep. David Joyce's dominant position. Joyce, who secured 63% in 2024, filed for reelection in January 2026 with over $3.2 million cash on hand, facing only token opposition from Nicole Frenchko in the May 5 Republican primary. The Democratic primary features three underfunded challengers—Maria Jukic, Bill O'Neill, and Carl Setzer—with no reported receipts, underscoring weak opposition in this Safe Republican-rated race per Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent analyses, including Cook Political Report's March 27 update, affirm low flip risk despite Democratic hopes for midterm backlash, with the general election set for November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
87%
民主党
13%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 交易量
87%
民主党
$0 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 87.5% implied probability for the OH-14 House seat due to the district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index under Ohio's new 2025 congressional map and incumbent Rep. David Joyce's dominant position. Joyce, who secured 63% in 2024, filed for reelection in January 2026 with over $3.2 million cash on hand, facing only token opposition from Nicole Frenchko in the May 5 Republican primary. The Democratic primary features three underfunded challengers—Maria Jukic, Bill O'Neill, and Carl Setzer—with no reported receipts, underscoring weak opposition in this Safe Republican-rated race per Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent analyses, including Cook Political Report's March 27 update, affirm low flip risk despite Democratic hopes for midterm backlash, with the general election set for November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 87.5% implied probability for the OH-14 House seat due to the district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index under Ohio's new 2025 congressional map and incumbent Rep. David Joyce's dominant position. Joyce, who secured 63% in 2024, filed for reelection in January 2026 with over $3.2 million cash on hand, facing only token opposition from Nicole Frenchko in the May 5 Republican primary. The Democratic primary features three underfunded challengers—Maria Jukic, Bill O'Neill, and Carl Setzer—with no reported receipts, underscoring weak opposition in this Safe Republican-rated race per Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent analyses, including Cook Political Report's March 27 update, affirm low flip risk despite Democratic hopes for midterm backlash, with the general election set for November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 87.5% implied probability for the OH-14 House seat due to the district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index under Ohio's new 2025 congressional map and incumbent Rep. David Joyce's dominant position. Joyce, who secured 63% in 2024, filed for reelection in January 2026 with over $3.2 million cash on hand, facing only token opposition from Nicole Frenchko in the May 5 Republican primary. The Democratic primary features three underfunded challengers—Maria Jukic, Bill O'Neill, and Carl Setzer—with no reported receipts, underscoring weak opposition in this Safe Republican-rated race per Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent analyses, including Cook Political Report's March 27 update, affirm low flip risk despite Democratic hopes for midterm backlash, with the general election set for November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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