In North Carolina's 1st Congressional District, trader consensus slightly favors the Republican Party at 53.5% over Democrats at 46%, reflecting a rematch between incumbent Rep. Don Davis and challenger Laurie Buckhout following her March 3 primary victory. Redistricting shifted the district to R+5 partisan voting index, per Cook Political Report's "Likely Republican" rating—Davis's most vulnerable seat—after his narrow 1.7-point 2024 win amid high undecideds in an early Emerson poll showing Buckhout up 4 points. The race stays tight due to Davis's incumbency edge, comparable fundraising (both over $2 million), and battleground history, with separation possible via national midterm trends, NRCC backing for Buckhout, or turnout in coastal swing areas ahead of November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
46%
共和党
38%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$42 交易量
46%
共和党
$0 交易量
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In North Carolina's 1st Congressional District, trader consensus slightly favors the Republican Party at 53.5% over Democrats at 46%, reflecting a rematch between incumbent Rep. Don Davis and challenger Laurie Buckhout following her March 3 primary victory. Redistricting shifted the district to R+5 partisan voting index, per Cook Political Report's "Likely Republican" rating—Davis's most vulnerable seat—after his narrow 1.7-point 2024 win amid high undecideds in an early Emerson poll showing Buckhout up 4 points. The race stays tight due to Davis's incumbency edge, comparable fundraising (both over $2 million), and battleground history, with separation possible via national midterm trends, NRCC backing for Buckhout, or turnout in coastal swing areas ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
交易量
$42结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In North Carolina's 1st Congressional District, trader consensus slightly favors the Republican Party at 53.5% over Democrats at 46%, reflecting a rematch between incumbent Rep. Don Davis and challenger Laurie Buckhout following her March 3 primary victory. Redistricting shifted the district to R+5 partisan voting index, per Cook Political Report's "Likely Republican" rating—Davis's most vulnerable seat—after his narrow 1.7-point 2024 win amid high undecideds in an early Emerson poll showing Buckhout up 4 points. The race stays tight due to Davis's incumbency edge, comparable fundraising (both over $2 million), and battleground history, with separation possible via national midterm trends, NRCC backing for Buckhout, or turnout in coastal swing areas ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$42结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In North Carolina's 1st Congressional District, trader consensus slightly favors the Republican Party at 53.5% over Democrats at 46%, reflecting a rematch between incumbent Rep. Don Davis and challenger Laurie Buckhout following her March 3 primary victory. Redistricting shifted the district to R+5 partisan voting index, per Cook Political Report's "Likely Republican" rating—Davis's most vulnerable seat—after his narrow 1.7-point 2024 win amid high undecideds in an early Emerson poll showing Buckhout up 4 points. The race stays tight due to Davis's incumbency edge, comparable fundraising (both over $2 million), and battleground history, with separation possible via national midterm trends, NRCC backing for Buckhout, or turnout in coastal swing areas ahead of November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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