In Michigan's 10th Congressional District—a battleground rated toss-up by Sabato's Crystal Ball with an R+3 partisan voter index—trader consensus slightly favors the Democratic Party at 51.5% over Republicans at 47% amid an open seat after incumbent John James shifted to the 2026 gubernatorial race. Recent Republican primary polls from mid-March show frontrunner Michael Bouchard at 29% among likely voters but with 47% undecided, signaling a fragmented field ahead of the August 4 primaries, while Democrats feature strong fundraisers like Eric Chung ($1.1 million raised) and Tim Greimel. A January PPP survey had Christina Hines leading hypothetical Republican matchups, bolstering Dem optimism in this swing district's history of tight races (James won by 6 points in 2024). Primary outcomes, candidate consolidation, and midterm turnout in Macomb County suburbs could tip the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
53%
共和党
47%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
$0 交易量
53%
共和党
$206 交易量
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Michigan's 10th Congressional District—a battleground rated toss-up by Sabato's Crystal Ball with an R+3 partisan voter index—trader consensus slightly favors the Democratic Party at 51.5% over Republicans at 47% amid an open seat after incumbent John James shifted to the 2026 gubernatorial race. Recent Republican primary polls from mid-March show frontrunner Michael Bouchard at 29% among likely voters but with 47% undecided, signaling a fragmented field ahead of the August 4 primaries, while Democrats feature strong fundraisers like Eric Chung ($1.1 million raised) and Tim Greimel. A January PPP survey had Christina Hines leading hypothetical Republican matchups, bolstering Dem optimism in this swing district's history of tight races (James won by 6 points in 2024). Primary outcomes, candidate consolidation, and midterm turnout in Macomb County suburbs could tip the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
交易量
$206结束日期
Nov 4, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Michigan's 10th Congressional District—a battleground rated toss-up by Sabato's Crystal Ball with an R+3 partisan voter index—trader consensus slightly favors the Democratic Party at 51.5% over Republicans at 47% amid an open seat after incumbent John James shifted to the 2026 gubernatorial race. Recent Republican primary polls from mid-March show frontrunner Michael Bouchard at 29% among likely voters but with 47% undecided, signaling a fragmented field ahead of the August 4 primaries, while Democrats feature strong fundraisers like Eric Chung ($1.1 million raised) and Tim Greimel. A January PPP survey had Christina Hines leading hypothetical Republican matchups, bolstering Dem optimism in this swing district's history of tight races (James won by 6 points in 2024). Primary outcomes, candidate consolidation, and midterm turnout in Macomb County suburbs could tip the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$206结束日期
Nov 4, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Michigan's 10th Congressional District—a battleground rated toss-up by Sabato's Crystal Ball with an R+3 partisan voter index—trader consensus slightly favors the Democratic Party at 51.5% over Republicans at 47% amid an open seat after incumbent John James shifted to the 2026 gubernatorial race. Recent Republican primary polls from mid-March show frontrunner Michael Bouchard at 29% among likely voters but with 47% undecided, signaling a fragmented field ahead of the August 4 primaries, while Democrats feature strong fundraisers like Eric Chung ($1.1 million raised) and Tim Greimel. A January PPP survey had Christina Hines leading hypothetical Republican matchups, bolstering Dem optimism in this swing district's history of tight races (James won by 6 points in 2024). Primary outcomes, candidate consolidation, and midterm turnout in Macomb County suburbs could tip the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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