Incumbent Rep. Debbie Dingell (D), who filed for re-election in December 2025, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic hold in Michigan's 6th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report due to its partisan lean and her strong past margins. No Republican challengers have emerged ahead of the April 21 filing deadline, with primaries set for August 4 and the general election on November 3, 2026. This early-cycle positioning reflects incumbency advantages and historical base rates for safe seats, though a high-profile GOP recruit, national midterm wave, or Dingell scandal could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$10,028 交易量
$10,028 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
$10,028 交易量
$10,028 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$5,147 交易量
93%
共和党
$4,881 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Debbie Dingell (D), who filed for re-election in December 2025, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic hold in Michigan's 6th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report due to its partisan lean and her strong past margins. No Republican challengers have emerged ahead of the April 21 filing deadline, with primaries set for August 4 and the general election on November 3, 2026. This early-cycle positioning reflects incumbency advantages and historical base rates for safe seats, though a high-profile GOP recruit, national midterm wave, or Dingell scandal could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$10,028结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Debbie Dingell (D), who filed for re-election in December 2025, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic hold in Michigan's 6th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report due to its partisan lean and her strong past margins. No Republican challengers have emerged ahead of the April 21 filing deadline, with primaries set for August 4 and the general election on November 3, 2026. This early-cycle positioning reflects incumbency advantages and historical base rates for safe seats, though a high-profile GOP recruit, national midterm wave, or Dingell scandal could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,028结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Debbie Dingell (D), who filed for re-election in December 2025, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic hold in Michigan's 6th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report due to its partisan lean and her strong past margins. No Republican challengers have emerged ahead of the April 21 filing deadline, with primaries set for August 4 and the general election on November 3, 2026. This early-cycle positioning reflects incumbency advantages and historical base rates for safe seats, though a high-profile GOP recruit, national midterm wave, or Dingell scandal could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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