Incumbent Democrat Maxine Waters, seeking re-election at age 87 in California's 43rd Congressional District—a longtime Democratic stronghold in South Los Angeles—has solidified trader consensus at 93% with her formal filing in early March 2026, quashing retirement rumors despite her status as Congress's oldest Democrat. The district's boundaries remain largely unchanged under recent redistricting via Proposition 50, preserving its heavy Democratic lean from prior cycles where Waters won decisively. With the nonpartisan primary on June 2 and general election November 3, no formidable Republican challengers have emerged. Realistic shifts could stem from Waters' health issues, a strong primary upset, or unexpected GOP recruitment, though historical safe-seat patterns suggest slim odds of flipping.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$0 交易量
93%
共和党
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maxine Waters, seeking re-election at age 87 in California's 43rd Congressional District—a longtime Democratic stronghold in South Los Angeles—has solidified trader consensus at 93% with her formal filing in early March 2026, quashing retirement rumors despite her status as Congress's oldest Democrat. The district's boundaries remain largely unchanged under recent redistricting via Proposition 50, preserving its heavy Democratic lean from prior cycles where Waters won decisively. With the nonpartisan primary on June 2 and general election November 3, no formidable Republican challengers have emerged. Realistic shifts could stem from Waters' health issues, a strong primary upset, or unexpected GOP recruitment, though historical safe-seat patterns suggest slim odds of flipping.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maxine Waters, seeking re-election at age 87 in California's 43rd Congressional District—a longtime Democratic stronghold in South Los Angeles—has solidified trader consensus at 93% with her formal filing in early March 2026, quashing retirement rumors despite her status as Congress's oldest Democrat. The district's boundaries remain largely unchanged under recent redistricting via Proposition 50, preserving its heavy Democratic lean from prior cycles where Waters won decisively. With the nonpartisan primary on June 2 and general election November 3, no formidable Republican challengers have emerged. Realistic shifts could stem from Waters' health issues, a strong primary upset, or unexpected GOP recruitment, though historical safe-seat patterns suggest slim odds of flipping.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Maxine Waters, seeking re-election at age 87 in California's 43rd Congressional District—a longtime Democratic stronghold in South Los Angeles—has solidified trader consensus at 93% with her formal filing in early March 2026, quashing retirement rumors despite her status as Congress's oldest Democrat. The district's boundaries remain largely unchanged under recent redistricting via Proposition 50, preserving its heavy Democratic lean from prior cycles where Waters won decisively. With the nonpartisan primary on June 2 and general election November 3, no formidable Republican challengers have emerged. Realistic shifts could stem from Waters' health issues, a strong primary upset, or unexpected GOP recruitment, though historical safe-seat patterns suggest slim odds of flipping.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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