Incumbent Rep. Joe Courtney's two-decade hold on solidly Democratic Connecticut's 2nd Congressional District, bolstered by consistent overperformance against other Democrats and $521,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, anchors trader consensus at overwhelming odds for a Democratic victory. Recent Democratic primary entrant Kyle Gauck, who announced his bid March 26 amid efforts to secure ballot access via signatures or delegates, poses minimal threat given his scant $404 reserves. The Republican primary remains fragmented among George Austin, Mike France, and Sean Randall, all with limited fundraising. Barriers to an upset include Courtney's incumbency edge and district partisan lean; shifts would require a major scandal, health event, or national GOP midterm wave before the August 11 primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$1,216 交易量
92%
共和党
$1,284 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Joe Courtney's two-decade hold on solidly Democratic Connecticut's 2nd Congressional District, bolstered by consistent overperformance against other Democrats and $521,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, anchors trader consensus at overwhelming odds for a Democratic victory. Recent Democratic primary entrant Kyle Gauck, who announced his bid March 26 amid efforts to secure ballot access via signatures or delegates, poses minimal threat given his scant $404 reserves. The Republican primary remains fragmented among George Austin, Mike France, and Sean Randall, all with limited fundraising. Barriers to an upset include Courtney's incumbency edge and district partisan lean; shifts would require a major scandal, health event, or national GOP midterm wave before the August 11 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,501结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Joe Courtney's two-decade hold on solidly Democratic Connecticut's 2nd Congressional District, bolstered by consistent overperformance against other Democrats and $521,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, anchors trader consensus at overwhelming odds for a Democratic victory. Recent Democratic primary entrant Kyle Gauck, who announced his bid March 26 amid efforts to secure ballot access via signatures or delegates, poses minimal threat given his scant $404 reserves. The Republican primary remains fragmented among George Austin, Mike France, and Sean Randall, all with limited fundraising. Barriers to an upset include Courtney's incumbency edge and district partisan lean; shifts would require a major scandal, health event, or national GOP midterm wave before the August 11 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,501结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Joe Courtney's two-decade hold on solidly Democratic Connecticut's 2nd Congressional District, bolstered by consistent overperformance against other Democrats and $521,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, anchors trader consensus at overwhelming odds for a Democratic victory. Recent Democratic primary entrant Kyle Gauck, who announced his bid March 26 amid efforts to secure ballot access via signatures or delegates, poses minimal threat given his scant $404 reserves. The Republican primary remains fragmented among George Austin, Mike France, and Sean Randall, all with limited fundraising. Barriers to an upset include Courtney's incumbency edge and district partisan lean; shifts would require a major scandal, health event, or national GOP midterm wave before the August 11 primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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