Polymarket traders price Republican Jeff Hurd as the favorite to win Colorado's 3rd Congressional District House seat at 57.5%, reflecting his consistent leads in recent polls amid a GOP-favorable national environment. The latest surveys, including Emerson (late August) showing Hurd at 48% to Adam Frisch's 42% and RMG Research (mid-September) at 47%-43%, have solidified this edge in the R+5 leaning district, a rematch of Frisch's narrow 2022 loss. Frisch's heavy self-funding has narrowed gaps but not overcome Hurd's momentum from party investments and primary dominance. With early voting underway and Election Day on November 5, swing voter turnout in this battleground could tip the closely contested race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于共和党
61%
民主党
45%
共和党
61%
民主党
45%
If no winner is announced by November 4, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no winner is announced by November 4, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price Republican Jeff Hurd as the favorite to win Colorado's 3rd Congressional District House seat at 57.5%, reflecting his consistent leads in recent polls amid a GOP-favorable national environment. The latest surveys, including Emerson (late August) showing Hurd at 48% to Adam Frisch's 42% and RMG Research (mid-September) at 47%-43%, have solidified this edge in the R+5 leaning district, a rematch of Frisch's narrow 2022 loss. Frisch's heavy self-funding has narrowed gaps but not overcome Hurd's momentum from party investments and primary dominance. With early voting underway and Election Day on November 5, swing voter turnout in this battleground could tip the closely contested race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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