Incumbent Scott Peters (D) dominates trader sentiment for California's 50th Congressional District House race, with Democratic Party odds at 93% reflecting the district's D+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index following Proposition 50's passage in November 2025, which redrew maps to favor Democrats and solidify its status as the 88th most Democratic nationwide. Peters, reelected with 64% in 2024 and boasting over $2.4 million cash-on-hand, faces minimal primary threats ahead of the June 2 top-two contest from challengers like Republican Steve Cohen, a former TV news consultant. This commanding position stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean and Peters' proven incumbency advantage. Realistic challenges include a Peters primary upset, personal scandal, health issues, or a broader Republican midterm wave shifting turnout dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$18,281 交易量
$18,281 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$18,281 交易量
$18,281 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$13,332 交易量
93%
共和党
$4,949 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott Peters (D) dominates trader sentiment for California's 50th Congressional District House race, with Democratic Party odds at 93% reflecting the district's D+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index following Proposition 50's passage in November 2025, which redrew maps to favor Democrats and solidify its status as the 88th most Democratic nationwide. Peters, reelected with 64% in 2024 and boasting over $2.4 million cash-on-hand, faces minimal primary threats ahead of the June 2 top-two contest from challengers like Republican Steve Cohen, a former TV news consultant. This commanding position stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean and Peters' proven incumbency advantage. Realistic challenges include a Peters primary upset, personal scandal, health issues, or a broader Republican midterm wave shifting turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$18,281结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott Peters (D) dominates trader sentiment for California's 50th Congressional District House race, with Democratic Party odds at 93% reflecting the district's D+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index following Proposition 50's passage in November 2025, which redrew maps to favor Democrats and solidify its status as the 88th most Democratic nationwide. Peters, reelected with 64% in 2024 and boasting over $2.4 million cash-on-hand, faces minimal primary threats ahead of the June 2 top-two contest from challengers like Republican Steve Cohen, a former TV news consultant. This commanding position stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean and Peters' proven incumbency advantage. Realistic challenges include a Peters primary upset, personal scandal, health issues, or a broader Republican midterm wave shifting turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,281结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Scott Peters (D) dominates trader sentiment for California's 50th Congressional District House race, with Democratic Party odds at 93% reflecting the district's D+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index following Proposition 50's passage in November 2025, which redrew maps to favor Democrats and solidify its status as the 88th most Democratic nationwide. Peters, reelected with 64% in 2024 and boasting over $2.4 million cash-on-hand, faces minimal primary threats ahead of the June 2 top-two contest from challengers like Republican Steve Cohen, a former TV news consultant. This commanding position stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean and Peters' proven incumbency advantage. Realistic challenges include a Peters primary upset, personal scandal, health issues, or a broader Republican midterm wave shifting turnout dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题