Incumbent Rep. Brad Sherman (D) dominates California's 32nd Congressional District race, a D+17 stronghold per Cook Partisan Voter Index, with ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections deeming it safe or solid Democratic based on presidential margins exceeding 60% Democratic in 2024. Crowded Democratic primary field—seven challengers including well-funded Jake Levine—positions two Democrats to likely advance from the June 2 top-two primary, sidelining underfunded Republican Larry Thompson, who holds minimal cash-on-hand despite recent California Republican Party endorsement. Trader consensus at 92.5% Democratic reflects historical 66%+ Sherman victories and weak GOP path-to-victory. Late shifts could arise from primary upset, national midterm wave, or scandal, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November general.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,983 交易量
93%
共和党
$3,051 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Brad Sherman (D) dominates California's 32nd Congressional District race, a D+17 stronghold per Cook Partisan Voter Index, with ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections deeming it safe or solid Democratic based on presidential margins exceeding 60% Democratic in 2024. Crowded Democratic primary field—seven challengers including well-funded Jake Levine—positions two Democrats to likely advance from the June 2 top-two primary, sidelining underfunded Republican Larry Thompson, who holds minimal cash-on-hand despite recent California Republican Party endorsement. Trader consensus at 92.5% Democratic reflects historical 66%+ Sherman victories and weak GOP path-to-victory. Late shifts could arise from primary upset, national midterm wave, or scandal, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$6,033结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Brad Sherman (D) dominates California's 32nd Congressional District race, a D+17 stronghold per Cook Partisan Voter Index, with ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections deeming it safe or solid Democratic based on presidential margins exceeding 60% Democratic in 2024. Crowded Democratic primary field—seven challengers including well-funded Jake Levine—positions two Democrats to likely advance from the June 2 top-two primary, sidelining underfunded Republican Larry Thompson, who holds minimal cash-on-hand despite recent California Republican Party endorsement. Trader consensus at 92.5% Democratic reflects historical 66%+ Sherman victories and weak GOP path-to-victory. Late shifts could arise from primary upset, national midterm wave, or scandal, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,033结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Brad Sherman (D) dominates California's 32nd Congressional District race, a D+17 stronghold per Cook Partisan Voter Index, with ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections deeming it safe or solid Democratic based on presidential margins exceeding 60% Democratic in 2024. Crowded Democratic primary field—seven challengers including well-funded Jake Levine—positions two Democrats to likely advance from the June 2 top-two primary, sidelining underfunded Republican Larry Thompson, who holds minimal cash-on-hand despite recent California Republican Party endorsement. Trader consensus at 92.5% Democratic reflects historical 66%+ Sherman victories and weak GOP path-to-victory. Late shifts could arise from primary upset, national midterm wave, or scandal, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November general.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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