The strong Democratic partisan lean of California's 19th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and consistent past results exceeding 68 percent for Democratic candidates, anchors trader consensus for a Democratic hold in the 2026 election. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 has preserved this composition, leaving the seat rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple analysts ahead of the June 2 primary featuring several candidates from both parties. Historical patterns in similarly partisan districts and the absence of notable shifts in voter registration or turnout indicators reinforce the current implied probability, though late developments such as candidate withdrawals or broader national swings could still influence the November general election outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,801 交易量
$26,801 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
5%
$26,801 交易量
$26,801 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$16,570 交易量
93%
共和党
$10,231 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic partisan lean of California's 19th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and consistent past results exceeding 68 percent for Democratic candidates, anchors trader consensus for a Democratic hold in the 2026 election. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 has preserved this composition, leaving the seat rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple analysts ahead of the June 2 primary featuring several candidates from both parties. Historical patterns in similarly partisan districts and the absence of notable shifts in voter registration or turnout indicators reinforce the current implied probability, though late developments such as candidate withdrawals or broader national swings could still influence the November general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$26,801结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic partisan lean of California's 19th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and consistent past results exceeding 68 percent for Democratic candidates, anchors trader consensus for a Democratic hold in the 2026 election. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 has preserved this composition, leaving the seat rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple analysts ahead of the June 2 primary featuring several candidates from both parties. Historical patterns in similarly partisan districts and the absence of notable shifts in voter registration or turnout indicators reinforce the current implied probability, though late developments such as candidate withdrawals or broader national swings could still influence the November general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,801结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic partisan lean of California's 19th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and consistent past results exceeding 68 percent for Democratic candidates, anchors trader consensus for a Democratic hold in the 2026 election. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 has preserved this composition, leaving the seat rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple analysts ahead of the June 2 primary featuring several candidates from both parties. Historical patterns in similarly partisan districts and the absence of notable shifts in voter registration or turnout indicators reinforce the current implied probability, though late developments such as candidate withdrawals or broader national swings could still influence the November general election outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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