Trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 75% in Arizona's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by recent polling showing challenger JoAnna Mendoza leading incumbent Rep. Juan Ciscomani 42%-41%, alongside her strong Q4 2025 fundraising totaling nearly $2.9 million—nearly matching Ciscomani's totals and surpassing him in the prior quarter. The district, rated Toss-up by Cook Political Report with an even partisan lean, has seen narrow Republican holds in recent cycles, but Democratic consolidation after other primary challengers withdrew, plus DCCC Red to Blue program backing for Mendoza, bolsters her path. National midterm trends favoring opposition gains amplify trader optimism ahead of the July 21 primaries and November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
75%
共和党
26%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
$38 交易量
75%
共和党
$0 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 75% in Arizona's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by recent polling showing challenger JoAnna Mendoza leading incumbent Rep. Juan Ciscomani 42%-41%, alongside her strong Q4 2025 fundraising totaling nearly $2.9 million—nearly matching Ciscomani's totals and surpassing him in the prior quarter. The district, rated Toss-up by Cook Political Report with an even partisan lean, has seen narrow Republican holds in recent cycles, but Democratic consolidation after other primary challengers withdrew, plus DCCC Red to Blue program backing for Mendoza, bolsters her path. National midterm trends favoring opposition gains amplify trader optimism ahead of the July 21 primaries and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
交易量
$38结束日期
Nov 4, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 75% in Arizona's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by recent polling showing challenger JoAnna Mendoza leading incumbent Rep. Juan Ciscomani 42%-41%, alongside her strong Q4 2025 fundraising totaling nearly $2.9 million—nearly matching Ciscomani's totals and surpassing him in the prior quarter. The district, rated Toss-up by Cook Political Report with an even partisan lean, has seen narrow Republican holds in recent cycles, but Democratic consolidation after other primary challengers withdrew, plus DCCC Red to Blue program backing for Mendoza, bolsters her path. National midterm trends favoring opposition gains amplify trader optimism ahead of the July 21 primaries and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$38结束日期
Nov 4, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 75% in Arizona's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by recent polling showing challenger JoAnna Mendoza leading incumbent Rep. Juan Ciscomani 42%-41%, alongside her strong Q4 2025 fundraising totaling nearly $2.9 million—nearly matching Ciscomani's totals and surpassing him in the prior quarter. The district, rated Toss-up by Cook Political Report with an even partisan lean, has seen narrow Republican holds in recent cycles, but Democratic consolidation after other primary challengers withdrew, plus DCCC Red to Blue program backing for Mendoza, bolsters her path. National midterm trends favoring opposition gains amplify trader optimism ahead of the July 21 primaries and November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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