Incumbent Republican Rep. Eli Crane holds a fundraising edge with over $2.4 million cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing Democratic challenger Jonathan Nez's $649,000, bolstering trader consensus at 64% for the Republican Party in this R+7 Cook PVI district rated Likely Republican by forecasters. Nez, former Navajo Nation President running again after a 2024 loss, secured DCCC Red-to-Blue designation in mid-March and filed signatures by late March, energizing Democrats amid midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party. However, no recent polling shows a Dem lead, and Crane's primary path appears clear ahead of the July 21 primaries, with filing deadlines just passed reinforcing the GOP's structural advantages in this rural-leaning battleground.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
62%
民主党
46%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$0 交易量
62%
民主党
$165 交易量
46%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Eli Crane holds a fundraising edge with over $2.4 million cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing Democratic challenger Jonathan Nez's $649,000, bolstering trader consensus at 64% for the Republican Party in this R+7 Cook PVI district rated Likely Republican by forecasters. Nez, former Navajo Nation President running again after a 2024 loss, secured DCCC Red-to-Blue designation in mid-March and filed signatures by late March, energizing Democrats amid midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party. However, no recent polling shows a Dem lead, and Crane's primary path appears clear ahead of the July 21 primaries, with filing deadlines just passed reinforcing the GOP's structural advantages in this rural-leaning battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
交易量
$165结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Eli Crane holds a fundraising edge with over $2.4 million cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing Democratic challenger Jonathan Nez's $649,000, bolstering trader consensus at 64% for the Republican Party in this R+7 Cook PVI district rated Likely Republican by forecasters. Nez, former Navajo Nation President running again after a 2024 loss, secured DCCC Red-to-Blue designation in mid-March and filed signatures by late March, energizing Democrats amid midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party. However, no recent polling shows a Dem lead, and Crane's primary path appears clear ahead of the July 21 primaries, with filing deadlines just passed reinforcing the GOP's structural advantages in this rural-leaning battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$165结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Eli Crane holds a fundraising edge with over $2.4 million cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing Democratic challenger Jonathan Nez's $649,000, bolstering trader consensus at 64% for the Republican Party in this R+7 Cook PVI district rated Likely Republican by forecasters. Nez, former Navajo Nation President running again after a 2024 loss, secured DCCC Red-to-Blue designation in mid-March and filed signatures by late March, energizing Democrats amid midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party. However, no recent polling shows a Dem lead, and Crane's primary path appears clear ahead of the July 21 primaries, with filing deadlines just passed reinforcing the GOP's structural advantages in this rural-leaning battleground.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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