Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 at 87.5%, reflecting the absence of any announced in-person summit plans since their last encounter in Alaska in August 2025, with a proposed Budapest follow-up abandoned amid Ukraine war stalemates and U.S. sanctions. Recent phone discussions on March 9—covering Ukraine and escalating Middle East tensions involving Iran—signaled diplomatic engagement but stopped short of scheduling a face-to-face, as the Kremlin emphasized ongoing talks without venue specifics. Heightened NATO frictions, Russian overtures on Iran mediation, and lack of neutral-site momentum keep alternatives like Gulf countries or Turkey below 3%, underscoring barriers from unresolved conflicts and alliance pressures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNo meeting by June 30 87.5%
Other EU country 2.7%
Gulf country 1.9%
United States 1.8%
$4,623,109 Vol.
$4,623,109 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
No meeting by June 30
88%
Other EU country
3%
Gulf country
2%
United States
2%
Turkey
2%
Other
1%
Russia
1%
China
1%
Belarus
1%
Switzerland
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Finland
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
No meeting by June 30 87.5%
Other EU country 2.7%
Gulf country 1.9%
United States 1.8%
$4,623,109 Vol.
$4,623,109 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
No meeting by June 30
$767,393 Vol.
88%
Other EU country
$912,984 Vol.
3%
Gulf country
$252,026 Vol.
2%
United States
$183,690 Vol.
2%
Turkey
$336,693 Vol.
2%
Other
$385,962 Vol.
1%
Russia
$619,137 Vol.
1%
China
$266,933 Vol.
1%
Belarus
$246,967 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$134,470 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$108,359 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$88,035 Vol.
<1%
Finland
$71,404 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$116,059 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$132,996 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 at 87.5%, reflecting the absence of any announced in-person summit plans since their last encounter in Alaska in August 2025, with a proposed Budapest follow-up abandoned amid Ukraine war stalemates and U.S. sanctions. Recent phone discussions on March 9—covering Ukraine and escalating Middle East tensions involving Iran—signaled diplomatic engagement but stopped short of scheduling a face-to-face, as the Kremlin emphasized ongoing talks without venue specifics. Heightened NATO frictions, Russian overtures on Iran mediation, and lack of neutral-site momentum keep alternatives like Gulf countries or Turkey below 3%, underscoring barriers from unresolved conflicts and alliance pressures.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Volume
$4,623,109End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 at 87.5%, reflecting the absence of any announced in-person summit plans since their last encounter in Alaska in August 2025, with a proposed Budapest follow-up abandoned amid Ukraine war stalemates and U.S. sanctions. Recent phone discussions on March 9—covering Ukraine and escalating Middle East tensions involving Iran—signaled diplomatic engagement but stopped short of scheduling a face-to-face, as the Kremlin emphasized ongoing talks without venue specifics. Heightened NATO frictions, Russian overtures on Iran mediation, and lack of neutral-site momentum keep alternatives like Gulf countries or Turkey below 3%, underscoring barriers from unresolved conflicts and alliance pressures.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,623,109End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 at 87.5%, reflecting the absence of any announced in-person summit plans since their last encounter in Alaska in August 2025, with a proposed Budapest follow-up abandoned amid Ukraine war stalemates and U.S. sanctions. Recent phone discussions on March 9—covering Ukraine and escalating Middle East tensions involving Iran—signaled diplomatic engagement but stopped short of scheduling a face-to-face, as the Kremlin emphasized ongoing talks without venue specifics. Heightened NATO frictions, Russian overtures on Iran mediation, and lack of neutral-site momentum keep alternatives like Gulf countries or Turkey below 3%, underscoring barriers from unresolved conflicts and alliance pressures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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