Fed decision in January?

Politics

Finance

Fed decision in January?

95%

No change

$356m Vol.

$33m today

$18m Liq.

1,369

Ends in 13 days

US strikes Iran by...?

Politics

Iran

US strikes Iran by...?

68%

June 30

$45m Vol.

$24m today

$725k Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Politics

Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

35%

Gavin Newsom

$478m Vol.

$5m today

$24m Liq.

415

Ends in almost 3 years

Portugal Presidential Election

Politics

Elections

Portugal Presidential Election

68%

António José Seguro (IND)

$107m Vol.

$5m today

$2m Liq.

1,177

Ends in 24 days

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Politics

Trump

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

43%

Kevin Warsh

$186m Vol.

$4m today

$4m Liq.

417

Ends in 12 months

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Politics

Elections

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

52%

J.D. Vance

$184m Vol.

$3m today

$11m Liq.

219

Ends in almost 3 years

Elon Musk # tweets January 9 - January 16, 2026?

Politics

Culture

Elon Musk # tweets January 9 - January 16, 2026?

29%

520-539

$11m Vol.

$3m today

$935k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Politics

Elections

Presidential Election Winner 2028

27%

JD Vance

$188m Vol.

$3m today

$14m Liq.

553

Ends in almost 3 years

US next strikes Iran on...?

Politics

Iran

US next strikes Iran on...?

50%

No strike by January 31

$3m Vol.

$3m today

$619k Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Politics

Gaza

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

36%

$10m Vol.

$1m today

$100k Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Elon Musk # tweets January 13 - January 20, 2026?

Politics

Culture

Elon Musk # tweets January 13 - January 20, 2026?

12%

520-539

$7m Vol.

$1m today

$904k Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Politics

Iran

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

9%

$5m Vol.

$1m today

$374k Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Elon Musk # tweets January 16 - January 23, 2026?

Politics

Culture

Elon Musk # tweets January 16 - January 23, 2026?

11%

500-519

$2m Vol.

$978k today

$490k Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Politics

Iran

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

40%

$5m Vol.

$850k today

$140k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Politics

Trump

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

18%

$9m Vol.

$772k today

$834k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?

Politics

Iran

Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?

1%

$2m Vol.

$638k today

$219k Liq.

24

Ends in 16 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Politics

Ukraine

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

3%

$14m Vol.

$605k today

$604k Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Politics

Iran

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

49%

$2m Vol.

$565k today

$133k Liq.

6

Ends in 12 months

Next Country US Strikes

Politics

Iran

Next Country US Strikes

46%

Iran

$610k Vol.

$553k today

$71.4k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Politics

Gaza

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

14%

$2m Vol.

$480k today

$36.0k Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours