Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–33°C highs for Singapore on March 27, with equal 30.5% implied probabilities, driven by ensemble weather models from ECMWF and GFS forecasting peaks in this range amid persistent equatorial heat. Singapore's maritime tropical climate typically yields March average highs of 31–33°C, modulated by sea breezes and afternoon thunderstorms that cap temperatures via convective cooling, differentiating lower odds for 36°C+ (24.5%) despite urban heat island effects and lingering El Niño warmth. Recent NEA updates show low cloud cover probabilities below 40%, favoring slight upside to 33°C, though diurnal variability and model spread introduce uncertainty until final hourly guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Singapore on March 27?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 27?
33°C 36%
32°C 31%
34°C 16%
31°C 15%
26°C or below
11%
27°C
5%
28°C
10%
29°C
12%
30°C
12%
31°C
15%
32°C
31%
33°C
36%
34°C
16%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
12%
33°C 36%
32°C 31%
34°C 16%
31°C 15%
26°C or below
11%
27°C
5%
28°C
10%
29°C
12%
30°C
12%
31°C
15%
32°C
31%
33°C
36%
34°C
16%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–33°C highs for Singapore on March 27, with equal 30.5% implied probabilities, driven by ensemble weather models from ECMWF and GFS forecasting peaks in this range amid persistent equatorial heat. Singapore's maritime tropical climate typically yields March average highs of 31–33°C, modulated by sea breezes and afternoon thunderstorms that cap temperatures via convective cooling, differentiating lower odds for 36°C+ (24.5%) despite urban heat island effects and lingering El Niño warmth. Recent NEA updates show low cloud cover probabilities below 40%, favoring slight upside to 33°C, though diurnal variability and model spread introduce uncertainty until final hourly guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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