The latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's highest temperature on April 2 at 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, driving trader consensus toward 14°C (33.5% implied probability) while spreading odds across nearby outcomes amid 45–55% uncertainty in the cluster. Recent March 30 mid-term updates shifted projections cooler from earlier 16°C estimates, reflecting a northerly continental air mass moderating spring warmth after variable early April conditions. Key variables include cloud cover evolution limiting solar insolation, timing of peak diurnal heating around 2–4 PM local time, and Seoul's urban heat island effect, which could boost readings by 1°C; historical early April highs average 15°C but exhibit high day-to-day variability. Overnight KMA revisions and new model runs may clarify the peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
14°C 32%
13°C 22%
15°C 20%
12°C 15%
$78,880 Объем
$78,880 Объем
2 апр. 2026 г.
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
7%
12°C
15%
13°C
22%
14°C
32%
15°C
20%
16°C or higher
10%
14°C 32%
13°C 22%
15°C 20%
12°C 15%
$78,880 Объем
$78,880 Объем
2 апр. 2026 г.
6°C or below
$28,096 Объем
<1%
7°C
$4,185 Объем
<1%
8°C
$4,293 Объем
<1%
9°C
$6,329 Объем
1%
10°C
$6,178 Объем
1%
11°C
$5,504 Объем
7%
12°C
$3,568 Объем
15%
13°C
$4,283 Объем
22%
14°C
$3,738 Объем
32%
15°C
$4,254 Объем
20%
16°C or higher
$8,540 Объем
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's highest temperature on April 2 at 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, driving trader consensus toward 14°C (33.5% implied probability) while spreading odds across nearby outcomes amid 45–55% uncertainty in the cluster. Recent March 30 mid-term updates shifted projections cooler from earlier 16°C estimates, reflecting a northerly continental air mass moderating spring warmth after variable early April conditions. Key variables include cloud cover evolution limiting solar insolation, timing of peak diurnal heating around 2–4 PM local time, and Seoul's urban heat island effect, which could boost readings by 1°C; historical early April highs average 15°C but exhibit high day-to-day variability. Overnight KMA revisions and new model runs may clarify the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
Объем
$78,880Дата окончания
2 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's highest temperature on April 2 at 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, driving trader consensus toward 14°C (33.5% implied probability) while spreading odds across nearby outcomes amid 45–55% uncertainty in the cluster. Recent March 30 mid-term updates shifted projections cooler from earlier 16°C estimates, reflecting a northerly continental air mass moderating spring warmth after variable early April conditions. Key variables include cloud cover evolution limiting solar insolation, timing of peak diurnal heating around 2–4 PM local time, and Seoul's urban heat island effect, which could boost readings by 1°C; historical early April highs average 15°C but exhibit high day-to-day variability. Overnight KMA revisions and new model runs may clarify the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$78,880Дата окончания
2 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's highest temperature on April 2 at 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, driving trader consensus toward 14°C (33.5% implied probability) while spreading odds across nearby outcomes amid 45–55% uncertainty in the cluster. Recent March 30 mid-term updates shifted projections cooler from earlier 16°C estimates, reflecting a northerly continental air mass moderating spring warmth after variable early April conditions. Key variables include cloud cover evolution limiting solar insolation, timing of peak diurnal heating around 2–4 PM local time, and Seoul's urban heat island effect, which could boost readings by 1°C; historical early April highs average 15°C but exhibit high day-to-day variability. Overnight KMA revisions and new model runs may clarify the peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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