Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 20°C (32%) and 21°C (29.5%) for Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting tight forecast model spreads amid spring variability. Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles projects afternoon peaks near 20°C, driven by a cooling trend from gusty northerly winds—up to 30-40 km/h—following April 3's hazy warmth around 24°C and frontal passage. Differentiating factors include potential low-level cloud persistence capping at 19-20°C versus brief southerly flow or urban heat effects nudging toward 21°C; historical early-April highs average 19°C with 2°C ensemble uncertainty at 48 hours out. Watch CMA's daily 12Z update for refinements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пекине 5 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Пекине 5 апреля?
20°C 36%
21°C 30%
19°C 14%
22°C 9.3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
6%
19°C
14%
20°C
36%
21°C
30%
22°C
9%
23°C или выше
6%
20°C 36%
21°C 30%
19°C 14%
22°C 9.3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
$483 Объем
<1%
14°C
$1,308 Объем
<1%
15°C
$2,124 Объем
<1%
16°C
$1,488 Объем
2%
17°C
$636 Объем
8%
18°C
$432 Объем
6%
19°C
$309 Объем
14%
20°C
$393 Объем
36%
21°C
$1,141 Объем
30%
22°C
$743 Объем
9%
23°C или выше
$476 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 20°C (32%) and 21°C (29.5%) for Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting tight forecast model spreads amid spring variability. Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles projects afternoon peaks near 20°C, driven by a cooling trend from gusty northerly winds—up to 30-40 km/h—following April 3's hazy warmth around 24°C and frontal passage. Differentiating factors include potential low-level cloud persistence capping at 19-20°C versus brief southerly flow or urban heat effects nudging toward 21°C; historical early-April highs average 19°C with 2°C ensemble uncertainty at 48 hours out. Watch CMA's daily 12Z update for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Объем
$9,488Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 20°C (32%) and 21°C (29.5%) for Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting tight forecast model spreads amid spring variability. Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles projects afternoon peaks near 20°C, driven by a cooling trend from gusty northerly winds—up to 30-40 km/h—following April 3's hazy warmth around 24°C and frontal passage. Differentiating factors include potential low-level cloud persistence capping at 19-20°C versus brief southerly flow or urban heat effects nudging toward 21°C; historical early-April highs average 19°C with 2°C ensemble uncertainty at 48 hours out. Watch CMA's daily 12Z update for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$9,488Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 20°C (32%) and 21°C (29.5%) for Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting tight forecast model spreads amid spring variability. Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles projects afternoon peaks near 20°C, driven by a cooling trend from gusty northerly winds—up to 30-40 km/h—following April 3's hazy warmth around 24°C and frontal passage. Differentiating factors include potential low-level cloud persistence capping at 19-20°C versus brief southerly flow or urban heat effects nudging toward 21°C; historical early-April highs average 19°C with 2°C ensemble uncertainty at 48 hours out. Watch CMA's daily 12Z update for refinements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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