Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS (NOAA) and ECMWF models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 7 around 17–20°C, fueling trader sentiment clustered tightly at 16°C (26%), 17°C (27.5%), and 18°C (22.5%) amid inherent short-range uncertainty. This spread stems from model disagreements on cloud cover persistence and weak southerly wind flows, which could suppress peaks under partly cloudy skies typical of early April climatology—where historical highs average 17–18°C. Light rain potential, as hinted in recent runs, favors cooler outcomes like 16°C, while clearer conditions tip toward 18°C. Daily updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine trajectories before resolution based on official station measurements at Pudong or Xujiahui observatories.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 7?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 7?
16°C 29%
17°C 28%
18°C 20%
15°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 апр. 2026 г.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
9%
15°C
11%
16°C
25%
17°C
28%
18°C
20%
19°C
11%
20°C or higher
11%
16°C 29%
17°C 28%
18°C 20%
15°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 апр. 2026 г.
10°C or below
$1,447 Объем
<1%
11°C
$1,662 Объем
<1%
12°C
$1,459 Объем
<1%
13°C
$461 Объем
3%
14°C
$892 Объем
9%
15°C
$545 Объем
11%
16°C
$769 Объем
25%
17°C
$517 Объем
28%
18°C
$452 Объем
20%
19°C
$412 Объем
11%
20°C or higher
$765 Объем
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS (NOAA) and ECMWF models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 7 around 17–20°C, fueling trader sentiment clustered tightly at 16°C (26%), 17°C (27.5%), and 18°C (22.5%) amid inherent short-range uncertainty. This spread stems from model disagreements on cloud cover persistence and weak southerly wind flows, which could suppress peaks under partly cloudy skies typical of early April climatology—where historical highs average 17–18°C. Light rain potential, as hinted in recent runs, favors cooler outcomes like 16°C, while clearer conditions tip toward 18°C. Daily updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine trajectories before resolution based on official station measurements at Pudong or Xujiahui observatories.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 3, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Объем
$9,325Дата окончания
7 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 6:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS (NOAA) and ECMWF models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 7 around 17–20°C, fueling trader sentiment clustered tightly at 16°C (26%), 17°C (27.5%), and 18°C (22.5%) amid inherent short-range uncertainty. This spread stems from model disagreements on cloud cover persistence and weak southerly wind flows, which could suppress peaks under partly cloudy skies typical of early April climatology—where historical highs average 17–18°C. Light rain potential, as hinted in recent runs, favors cooler outcomes like 16°C, while clearer conditions tip toward 18°C. Daily updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine trajectories before resolution based on official station measurements at Pudong or Xujiahui observatories.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$9,325Дата окончания
7 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 6:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS (NOAA) and ECMWF models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 7 around 17–20°C, fueling trader sentiment clustered tightly at 16°C (26%), 17°C (27.5%), and 18°C (22.5%) amid inherent short-range uncertainty. This spread stems from model disagreements on cloud cover persistence and weak southerly wind flows, which could suppress peaks under partly cloudy skies typical of early April climatology—where historical highs average 17–18°C. Light rain potential, as hinted in recent runs, favors cooler outcomes like 16°C, while clearer conditions tip toward 18°C. Daily updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine trajectories before resolution based on official station measurements at Pudong or Xujiahui observatories.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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