Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4, with models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles implying a spread across 20–27°C and slightly favoring 23°C amid divergent runs. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) trimestral outlooks for February–April highlight autumnal variability under neutral ENSO conditions, following late March's transition from warmer summer highs averaging 26°C to cooler patterns influenced by South Atlantic sea surface temperatures and potential polar air outbreaks. Differentiating factors include timing of southerly winds, cloud cover modulating insolation, and sea breeze intensification; probabilities cluster near climatological early-April averages of 22–24°C. Monitor SMN daily advisories and model updates through April 2, as frontal system positioning could sharpen the outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
21°C 21%
23°C 21%
22°C 20%
24°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
17°C or below
5%
18°C
7%
19°C
3%
20°C
9%
21°C
21%
22°C
25%
23°C
18%
24°C
13%
25°C
10%
26°C
12%
27°C or higher
9%
21°C 21%
23°C 21%
22°C 20%
24°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
17°C or below
$58 Объем
5%
18°C
$72 Объем
7%
19°C
$148 Объем
3%
20°C
$47 Объем
9%
21°C
$61 Объем
21%
22°C
$60 Объем
25%
23°C
$48 Объем
18%
24°C
$59 Объем
13%
25°C
$45 Объем
10%
26°C
$53 Объем
12%
27°C or higher
$57 Объем
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4, with models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles implying a spread across 20–27°C and slightly favoring 23°C amid divergent runs. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) trimestral outlooks for February–April highlight autumnal variability under neutral ENSO conditions, following late March's transition from warmer summer highs averaging 26°C to cooler patterns influenced by South Atlantic sea surface temperatures and potential polar air outbreaks. Differentiating factors include timing of southerly winds, cloud cover modulating insolation, and sea breeze intensification; probabilities cluster near climatological early-April averages of 22–24°C. Monitor SMN daily advisories and model updates through April 2, as frontal system positioning could sharpen the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Объем
$707Дата окончания
Apr 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4, with models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles implying a spread across 20–27°C and slightly favoring 23°C amid divergent runs. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) trimestral outlooks for February–April highlight autumnal variability under neutral ENSO conditions, following late March's transition from warmer summer highs averaging 26°C to cooler patterns influenced by South Atlantic sea surface temperatures and potential polar air outbreaks. Differentiating factors include timing of southerly winds, cloud cover modulating insolation, and sea breeze intensification; probabilities cluster near climatological early-April averages of 22–24°C. Monitor SMN daily advisories and model updates through April 2, as frontal system positioning could sharpen the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$707Дата окончания
Apr 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4, with models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles implying a spread across 20–27°C and slightly favoring 23°C amid divergent runs. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) trimestral outlooks for February–April highlight autumnal variability under neutral ENSO conditions, following late March's transition from warmer summer highs averaging 26°C to cooler patterns influenced by South Atlantic sea surface temperatures and potential polar air outbreaks. Differentiating factors include timing of southerly winds, cloud cover modulating insolation, and sea breeze intensification; probabilities cluster near climatological early-April averages of 22–24°C. Monitor SMN daily advisories and model updates through April 2, as frontal system positioning could sharpen the outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы