Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today at 82.5% implied probability, driven by the latest forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles showing peak daytime temperatures near 27°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and light winds. This follows observed highs of 25°C on March 27 and 28°C on March 28, reflecting a short-term warming trend above the late-March climatological average of 24°C amid Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate. Urban heat island effects in the densely built environment may nudge readings slightly higher, though model uncertainty remains around ±1°C; official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport will confirm the peak by evening local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on March 30?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 30?
27°C 75%
28°C 13%
29°C 6.7%
30°C 2.4%
$85,435 Объем
$85,435 Объем
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
75%
28°C
13%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 75%
28°C 13%
29°C 6.7%
30°C 2.4%
$85,435 Объем
$85,435 Объем
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
75%
28°C
13%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today at 82.5% implied probability, driven by the latest forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles showing peak daytime temperatures near 27°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and light winds. This follows observed highs of 25°C on March 27 and 28°C on March 28, reflecting a short-term warming trend above the late-March climatological average of 24°C amid Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate. Urban heat island effects in the densely built environment may nudge readings slightly higher, though model uncertainty remains around ±1°C; official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport will confirm the peak by evening local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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