Market-implied probabilities for Moscow's highest temperature on April 2 remain tightly clustered across 2–12°C+ outcomes due to pronounced divergence in global forecast models amid the city's volatile early-spring continental climate. Latest ECMWF-driven guidance from sources like Yr.no projects a high near 14°C under clear skies and light winds, while GFS ensembles imply cooler 4–8°C peaks from lingering Arctic air influence and potential cloudiness; local Roshydromet analogs align with historical early April averages of 7–9°C but note frequent 10°C swings. Key differentiators include upper-level trough timing, diurnal solar heating potential, and frontal boundary proximity. Traders eye tomorrow's 12z NOAA GFS and ECMWF updates for convergence ahead of resolution via official VVC station readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on April 2?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 2?
3°C 42%
4°C 42%
5°C 42%
6°C 42%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
2°C or below
41%
3°C
42%
4°C
42%
5°C
42%
6°C
42%
7°C
41%
8°C
41%
9°C
41%
10°C
41%
11°C
42%
12°C or higher
42%
3°C 42%
4°C 42%
5°C 42%
6°C 42%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
2°C or below
$5 Объем
41%
3°C
$0 Объем
42%
4°C
$0 Объем
42%
5°C
$0 Объем
42%
6°C
$0 Объем
42%
7°C
$0 Объем
41%
8°C
$0 Объем
41%
9°C
$0 Объем
41%
10°C
$0 Объем
41%
11°C
$0 Объем
42%
12°C or higher
$6 Объем
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied probabilities for Moscow's highest temperature on April 2 remain tightly clustered across 2–12°C+ outcomes due to pronounced divergence in global forecast models amid the city's volatile early-spring continental climate. Latest ECMWF-driven guidance from sources like Yr.no projects a high near 14°C under clear skies and light winds, while GFS ensembles imply cooler 4–8°C peaks from lingering Arctic air influence and potential cloudiness; local Roshydromet analogs align with historical early April averages of 7–9°C but note frequent 10°C swings. Key differentiators include upper-level trough timing, diurnal solar heating potential, and frontal boundary proximity. Traders eye tomorrow's 12z NOAA GFS and ECMWF updates for convergence ahead of resolution via official VVC station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Объем
$11Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied probabilities for Moscow's highest temperature on April 2 remain tightly clustered across 2–12°C+ outcomes due to pronounced divergence in global forecast models amid the city's volatile early-spring continental climate. Latest ECMWF-driven guidance from sources like Yr.no projects a high near 14°C under clear skies and light winds, while GFS ensembles imply cooler 4–8°C peaks from lingering Arctic air influence and potential cloudiness; local Roshydromet analogs align with historical early April averages of 7–9°C but note frequent 10°C swings. Key differentiators include upper-level trough timing, diurnal solar heating potential, and frontal boundary proximity. Traders eye tomorrow's 12z NOAA GFS and ECMWF updates for convergence ahead of resolution via official VVC station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$11Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied probabilities for Moscow's highest temperature on April 2 remain tightly clustered across 2–12°C+ outcomes due to pronounced divergence in global forecast models amid the city's volatile early-spring continental climate. Latest ECMWF-driven guidance from sources like Yr.no projects a high near 14°C under clear skies and light winds, while GFS ensembles imply cooler 4–8°C peaks from lingering Arctic air influence and potential cloudiness; local Roshydromet analogs align with historical early April averages of 7–9°C but note frequent 10°C swings. Key differentiators include upper-level trough timing, diurnal solar heating potential, and frontal boundary proximity. Traders eye tomorrow's 12z NOAA GFS and ECMWF updates for convergence ahead of resolution via official VVC station readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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