Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service climate normals of around 82°F for early April highs at Miami International Airport, driving tight clustering in 78-85°F bins amid a transition to persistently dry conditions after mid-March rains replenished drought-stricken South Florida. Recent sunshine and light winds have supported low- to mid-80s readings, consistent with Climate Prediction Center guidance for below-normal precipitation through April under fading La Niña influence toward ENSO-neutral. Differentiating factors include sea breeze-driven afternoon convection potentially capping peaks at 78-79°F versus stronger subtropical ridge allowing 82-83°F or higher; GFS and ECMWF ensembles show 2-4°F spread. Daily NWS updates and model refreshes will sharpen resolution ahead of April 2.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Miami on April 2?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 2?
78-79°F 28%
80-81°F 22%
82-83°F 18%
84-85°F 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
71°F or below
3%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
9%
90°F or higher
4%
78-79°F 28%
80-81°F 22%
82-83°F 18%
84-85°F 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
71°F or below
$9 Объем
3%
72-73°F
$5 Объем
10%
74-75°F
$1 Объем
14%
76-77°F
$0 Объем
16%
78-79°F
$14 Объем
28%
80-81°F
$9 Объем
22%
82-83°F
$0 Объем
18%
84-85°F
$0 Объем
17%
86-87°F
$1 Объем
9%
88-89°F
$5 Объем
9%
90°F or higher
$9 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service climate normals of around 82°F for early April highs at Miami International Airport, driving tight clustering in 78-85°F bins amid a transition to persistently dry conditions after mid-March rains replenished drought-stricken South Florida. Recent sunshine and light winds have supported low- to mid-80s readings, consistent with Climate Prediction Center guidance for below-normal precipitation through April under fading La Niña influence toward ENSO-neutral. Differentiating factors include sea breeze-driven afternoon convection potentially capping peaks at 78-79°F versus stronger subtropical ridge allowing 82-83°F or higher; GFS and ECMWF ensembles show 2-4°F spread. Daily NWS updates and model refreshes will sharpen resolution ahead of April 2.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Объем
$53Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 4:36 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service climate normals of around 82°F for early April highs at Miami International Airport, driving tight clustering in 78-85°F bins amid a transition to persistently dry conditions after mid-March rains replenished drought-stricken South Florida. Recent sunshine and light winds have supported low- to mid-80s readings, consistent with Climate Prediction Center guidance for below-normal precipitation through April under fading La Niña influence toward ENSO-neutral. Differentiating factors include sea breeze-driven afternoon convection potentially capping peaks at 78-79°F versus stronger subtropical ridge allowing 82-83°F or higher; GFS and ECMWF ensembles show 2-4°F spread. Daily NWS updates and model refreshes will sharpen resolution ahead of April 2.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$53Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 4:36 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service climate normals of around 82°F for early April highs at Miami International Airport, driving tight clustering in 78-85°F bins amid a transition to persistently dry conditions after mid-March rains replenished drought-stricken South Florida. Recent sunshine and light winds have supported low- to mid-80s readings, consistent with Climate Prediction Center guidance for below-normal precipitation through April under fading La Niña influence toward ENSO-neutral. Differentiating factors include sea breeze-driven afternoon convection potentially capping peaks at 78-79°F versus stronger subtropical ridge allowing 82-83°F or higher; GFS and ECMWF ensembles show 2-4°F spread. Daily NWS updates and model refreshes will sharpen resolution ahead of April 2.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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