Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF position Miami's highest temperature on April 1 near 81°F under expected partly sunny skies with light winds, aligning trader consensus with 80-81°F at 40% and 82-83°F at 26.5% implied probabilities. This reflects seasonal climatological normals of around 81°F for early April from NOAA 1991-2020 data, moderated by Atlantic sea surface temperatures and diurnal sea breeze effects. Recent March warmth in South Florida, with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s amid scattered showers, supports these odds, while the ongoing transition from weak La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions reduces chances of cooler anomalies. New model runs and NWS updates expected daily could refine probabilities amid typical forecast uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Miami on April 1?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 1?
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 30%
78-79°F 26%
76-77°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
73°F или ниже
3%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
3%
92°F or higher
2%
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 30%
78-79°F 26%
76-77°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
73°F или ниже
$282 Объем
3%
74-75°F
$22 Объем
5%
76-77°F
$10 Объем
8%
78-79°F
$257 Объем
26%
80-81°F
$54 Объем
40%
82-83°F
$318 Объем
30%
84-85°F
$5 Объем
6%
86-87°F
$5 Объем
4%
88-89°F
$5 Объем
3%
90-91°F
$5 Объем
3%
92°F or higher
$10 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF position Miami's highest temperature on April 1 near 81°F under expected partly sunny skies with light winds, aligning trader consensus with 80-81°F at 40% and 82-83°F at 26.5% implied probabilities. This reflects seasonal climatological normals of around 81°F for early April from NOAA 1991-2020 data, moderated by Atlantic sea surface temperatures and diurnal sea breeze effects. Recent March warmth in South Florida, with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s amid scattered showers, supports these odds, while the ongoing transition from weak La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions reduces chances of cooler anomalies. New model runs and NWS updates expected daily could refine probabilities amid typical forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 28, 2026, 6:08 AM ET
Объем
$973Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 28, 2026, 6:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF position Miami's highest temperature on April 1 near 81°F under expected partly sunny skies with light winds, aligning trader consensus with 80-81°F at 40% and 82-83°F at 26.5% implied probabilities. This reflects seasonal climatological normals of around 81°F for early April from NOAA 1991-2020 data, moderated by Atlantic sea surface temperatures and diurnal sea breeze effects. Recent March warmth in South Florida, with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s amid scattered showers, supports these odds, while the ongoing transition from weak La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions reduces chances of cooler anomalies. New model runs and NWS updates expected daily could refine probabilities amid typical forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$973Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 28, 2026, 6:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF position Miami's highest temperature on April 1 near 81°F under expected partly sunny skies with light winds, aligning trader consensus with 80-81°F at 40% and 82-83°F at 26.5% implied probabilities. This reflects seasonal climatological normals of around 81°F for early April from NOAA 1991-2020 data, moderated by Atlantic sea surface temperatures and diurnal sea breeze effects. Recent March warmth in South Florida, with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s amid scattered showers, supports these odds, while the ongoing transition from weak La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions reduces chances of cooler anomalies. New model runs and NWS updates expected daily could refine probabilities amid typical forecast uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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