Latest NOAA model ensembles and National Weather Service guidance point to a high of 43-45°F in New York City on March 28, driving trader consensus toward the top bins at 26% for 44-45°F and 25% for 42-43°F, as northerly winds and persistent mid-level clouds from a lingering trough suppress daytime heating. Differentiating factors include the timing of any diurnal mixing under partial sun—potentially boosting peaks by 2°F into 46-47°F (8.1%)—versus thicker overcast from shortwave impulses capping at 40-41°F (21.5%). GFS and ECMWF runs show slight spread around 44°F mean, below the 52°F March climatology, with final 18z updates critical before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 28 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 28 марта?
44-45°F 26%
42-43°F 25%
40-41°F 22%
48-49°F 13%
35°F или ниже
2%
36-37°F
6%
38-39°F
8%
40-41°F
22%
42-43°F
25%
44-45°F
26%
46-47°F
8%
48-49°F
13%
50-51°F
6%
52-53°F
4%
54°F или выше
3%
44-45°F 26%
42-43°F 25%
40-41°F 22%
48-49°F 13%
35°F или ниже
2%
36-37°F
6%
38-39°F
8%
40-41°F
22%
42-43°F
25%
44-45°F
26%
46-47°F
8%
48-49°F
13%
50-51°F
6%
52-53°F
4%
54°F или выше
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NOAA model ensembles and National Weather Service guidance point to a high of 43-45°F in New York City on March 28, driving trader consensus toward the top bins at 26% for 44-45°F and 25% for 42-43°F, as northerly winds and persistent mid-level clouds from a lingering trough suppress daytime heating. Differentiating factors include the timing of any diurnal mixing under partial sun—potentially boosting peaks by 2°F into 46-47°F (8.1%)—versus thicker overcast from shortwave impulses capping at 40-41°F (21.5%). GFS and ECMWF runs show slight spread around 44°F mean, below the 52°F March climatology, with final 18z updates critical before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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