Latest forecast ensembles from global models like the GFS and ECMWF, alongside Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), indicate trader-implied highs clustering around 23°C for Mexico City on April 1, reflecting a modest cooldown from the late March heatwave that pushed recent highs to 28°C amid a persistent upper-level ridge 17–22°C above average. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline lapse rate and dry-season stability favor mid-20s peaks historically (average 26°C), but uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and the trailing effects of an incoming polar air mass, creating spread across 21–26°C outcomes. New model runs every 6–12 hours and SMN briefings through March 31 will likely sharpen this consensus ahead of official airport observations resolving the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 1?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 1?
23°C 20%
24°C 17%
22°C 11.0%
25°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
18°C или ниже
4%
19°C
5%
20°C
10%
21°C
2%
22°C
13%
23°C
20%
24°C
17%
25°C
13%
26°C
14%
27°C
7%
28°C или выше
2%
23°C 20%
24°C 17%
22°C 11.0%
25°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
18°C или ниже
$136 Объем
4%
19°C
$5 Объем
5%
20°C
$5 Объем
10%
21°C
$77 Объем
2%
22°C
$459 Объем
13%
23°C
$1,190 Объем
20%
24°C
$197 Объем
17%
25°C
$137 Объем
13%
26°C
$49 Объем
14%
27°C
$5 Объем
7%
28°C или выше
$5 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from global models like the GFS and ECMWF, alongside Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), indicate trader-implied highs clustering around 23°C for Mexico City on April 1, reflecting a modest cooldown from the late March heatwave that pushed recent highs to 28°C amid a persistent upper-level ridge 17–22°C above average. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline lapse rate and dry-season stability favor mid-20s peaks historically (average 26°C), but uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and the trailing effects of an incoming polar air mass, creating spread across 21–26°C outcomes. New model runs every 6–12 hours and SMN briefings through March 31 will likely sharpen this consensus ahead of official airport observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 28, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Объем
$2,264Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 28, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from global models like the GFS and ECMWF, alongside Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), indicate trader-implied highs clustering around 23°C for Mexico City on April 1, reflecting a modest cooldown from the late March heatwave that pushed recent highs to 28°C amid a persistent upper-level ridge 17–22°C above average. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline lapse rate and dry-season stability favor mid-20s peaks historically (average 26°C), but uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and the trailing effects of an incoming polar air mass, creating spread across 21–26°C outcomes. New model runs every 6–12 hours and SMN briefings through March 31 will likely sharpen this consensus ahead of official airport observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,264Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 28, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast ensembles from global models like the GFS and ECMWF, alongside Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), indicate trader-implied highs clustering around 23°C for Mexico City on April 1, reflecting a modest cooldown from the late March heatwave that pushed recent highs to 28°C amid a persistent upper-level ridge 17–22°C above average. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline lapse rate and dry-season stability favor mid-20s peaks historically (average 26°C), but uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and the trailing effects of an incoming polar air mass, creating spread across 21–26°C outcomes. New model runs every 6–12 hours and SMN briefings through March 31 will likely sharpen this consensus ahead of official airport observations resolving the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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