Polymarket traders show razor-thin consensus for Seoul's highest temperature on March 29, pricing 16°C (20.5%), 15°C (20.0%), and 14°C (19.5%) as near-equals amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty. Korean Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble predictions from ECMWF/GFS models cluster daytime highs around 15°C, driven by mild southerly flows and residual warmth after a cold front cleared two days ago—elevating readings above the March climatological average of 12°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability, boundary layer mixing, and potential afternoon convective showers; historical analogs from similar spring setups show 1–2°C spreads. Updated model runs and surface observations due in the next 12–24 hours will likely narrow the field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сеуле 29 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Сеуле 29 марта?
14°C 21%
17°C или выше 20%
15°C 19%
16°C 19%
7°C или ниже
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
10%
13°C
14%
14°C
21%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C или выше
20%
14°C 21%
17°C или выше 20%
15°C 19%
16°C 19%
7°C или ниже
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
10%
13°C
14%
14°C
21%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C или выше
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders show razor-thin consensus for Seoul's highest temperature on March 29, pricing 16°C (20.5%), 15°C (20.0%), and 14°C (19.5%) as near-equals amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty. Korean Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble predictions from ECMWF/GFS models cluster daytime highs around 15°C, driven by mild southerly flows and residual warmth after a cold front cleared two days ago—elevating readings above the March climatological average of 12°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability, boundary layer mixing, and potential afternoon convective showers; historical analogs from similar spring setups show 1–2°C spreads. Updated model runs and surface observations due in the next 12–24 hours will likely narrow the field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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