Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 11°C (28.5%) or 10°C (27%) in London on March 28, reflecting the latest Met Office and ECMWF model ensembles projecting mild conditions under a weakening high-pressure ridge ushering Atlantic air masses with daytime maxes clustering around 10-12°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from passing fronts—more persistent low cloud could cap peaks at 10°C by limiting insolation, while brief sunny intervals might boost to 12°C via enhanced surface heating on thawing soils. Recent GFS refinements show slight warming trends overnight into the date, trimming odds for sub-10°C outcomes, though inherent forecast divergence beyond 48 hours tempers confidence amid jet stream wobbles. Historical late-March averages near 11°C align with this tight clustering.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 28 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 28 марта?
11°C 30%
10°C 28%
12°C 21%
9°C 14%
6°C или ниже
2%
7°C
2%
8°C
4%
9°C
14%
10°C
28%
11°C
30%
12°C
21%
13°C
7%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C или выше
2%
11°C 30%
10°C 28%
12°C 21%
9°C 14%
6°C или ниже
2%
7°C
2%
8°C
4%
9°C
14%
10°C
28%
11°C
30%
12°C
21%
13°C
7%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 11°C (28.5%) or 10°C (27%) in London on March 28, reflecting the latest Met Office and ECMWF model ensembles projecting mild conditions under a weakening high-pressure ridge ushering Atlantic air masses with daytime maxes clustering around 10-12°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from passing fronts—more persistent low cloud could cap peaks at 10°C by limiting insolation, while brief sunny intervals might boost to 12°C via enhanced surface heating on thawing soils. Recent GFS refinements show slight warming trends overnight into the date, trimming odds for sub-10°C outcomes, though inherent forecast divergence beyond 48 hours tempers confidence amid jet stream wobbles. Historical late-March averages near 11°C align with this tight clustering.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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