India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate Lucknow's highest temperature on March 29 will likely reach 34°C, aligning with trader consensus where 34°C or below holds a 42% implied probability and 35°C at 26%, reflecting dry continental air masses and northerly winds suppressing extreme heat after recent daytime highs of 35–36°C in late March. Current weather models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, show minimal convective activity or moisture influx, maintaining mild above-normal conditions typical for early pre-monsoon season when averages hover around 33°C. No heatwave criteria (40°C+) are met per IMD definitions, with low odds on higher bins due to stable high-pressure dominance. Updated observations and evening satellite data could refine intraday peaks before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лакхнау 29 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Лакхнау 29 марта?
34°C или ниже 40%
35°C 24%
36°C 20%
37°C 11%
34°C или ниже
40%
35°C
24%
36°C
23%
37°C
12%
38°C
8%
39°C
5%
40°C
3%
41°C
3%
42°C
3%
43°C
5%
44°C или выше
<1%
34°C или ниже 40%
35°C 24%
36°C 20%
37°C 11%
34°C или ниже
40%
35°C
24%
36°C
23%
37°C
12%
38°C
8%
39°C
5%
40°C
3%
41°C
3%
42°C
3%
43°C
5%
44°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate Lucknow's highest temperature on March 29 will likely reach 34°C, aligning with trader consensus where 34°C or below holds a 42% implied probability and 35°C at 26%, reflecting dry continental air masses and northerly winds suppressing extreme heat after recent daytime highs of 35–36°C in late March. Current weather models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, show minimal convective activity or moisture influx, maintaining mild above-normal conditions typical for early pre-monsoon season when averages hover around 33°C. No heatwave criteria (40°C+) are met per IMD definitions, with low odds on higher bins due to stable high-pressure dominance. Updated observations and evening satellite data could refine intraday peaks before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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