Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Miami's highest temperature on April 3, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing spreads between mid-70s and mid-80s°F due to competing ridge persistence versus potential weak frontal timing. NOAA's National Weather Service guidance clusters around 78-85°F, aligning with historical April 3 averages near 82°F at Miami International Airport, while elevated Atlantic sea surface temperatures favor intensification potential into upper 80s absent convective suppression. The ongoing transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions introduces added spring variability for South Florida, where sea breeze and shower probabilities could differentiate cooler 74-79°F outcomes from warmer 84-87°F scenarios. New model runs and NWS advisories expected daily through resolution will sharpen the outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Miami on April 3?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 3?
78-79°F 41%
84-85°F 40%
86-87°F 39%
74-75°F 38%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
71°F or below
8%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
23%
90°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 41%
84-85°F 40%
86-87°F 39%
74-75°F 38%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Объем
8%
72-73°F
$0 Объем
9%
74-75°F
$0 Объем
38%
76-77°F
$0 Объем
26%
78-79°F
$0 Объем
41%
80-81°F
$3 Объем
34%
82-83°F
$8 Объем
21%
84-85°F
$0 Объем
40%
86-87°F
$0 Объем
39%
88-89°F
$0 Объем
23%
90°F or higher
$307 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Miami's highest temperature on April 3, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing spreads between mid-70s and mid-80s°F due to competing ridge persistence versus potential weak frontal timing. NOAA's National Weather Service guidance clusters around 78-85°F, aligning with historical April 3 averages near 82°F at Miami International Airport, while elevated Atlantic sea surface temperatures favor intensification potential into upper 80s absent convective suppression. The ongoing transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions introduces added spring variability for South Florida, where sea breeze and shower probabilities could differentiate cooler 74-79°F outcomes from warmer 84-87°F scenarios. New model runs and NWS advisories expected daily through resolution will sharpen the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Объем
$317Дата окончания
Apr 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Miami's highest temperature on April 3, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing spreads between mid-70s and mid-80s°F due to competing ridge persistence versus potential weak frontal timing. NOAA's National Weather Service guidance clusters around 78-85°F, aligning with historical April 3 averages near 82°F at Miami International Airport, while elevated Atlantic sea surface temperatures favor intensification potential into upper 80s absent convective suppression. The ongoing transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions introduces added spring variability for South Florida, where sea breeze and shower probabilities could differentiate cooler 74-79°F outcomes from warmer 84-87°F scenarios. New model runs and NWS advisories expected daily through resolution will sharpen the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$317Дата окончания
Apr 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Miami's highest temperature on April 3, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing spreads between mid-70s and mid-80s°F due to competing ridge persistence versus potential weak frontal timing. NOAA's National Weather Service guidance clusters around 78-85°F, aligning with historical April 3 averages near 82°F at Miami International Airport, while elevated Atlantic sea surface temperatures favor intensification potential into upper 80s absent convective suppression. The ongoing transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions introduces added spring variability for South Florida, where sea breeze and shower probabilities could differentiate cooler 74-79°F outcomes from warmer 84-87°F scenarios. New model runs and NWS advisories expected daily through resolution will sharpen the outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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