Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 32% implied probability for Shenzhen's highest temperature reaching exactly 27°C on April 2, closely tracking recent forecast ensembles from global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project daily maxima in the 24–28°C range amid a warmer-than-average late March trend—March 29 observed 27°C under partly cloudy skies. High uncertainty stems from model spreads driven by variable cloud cover, potential light showers, and southerly wind patterns in this subtropical coastal region, where overcast conditions could suppress highs toward 24–25°C (19.5% each), while clearer skies might push toward 28–29°C or higher (19.5–20.5%). Key variables include convective activity and frontal passages; watch China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs by April 1 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 2?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 2?
24°C 34%
27°C 32%
29°C or higher 21%
25°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
19%
25°C
20%
26°C
20%
27°C
32%
28°C
20%
29°C or higher
21%
24°C 34%
27°C 32%
29°C or higher 21%
25°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
19°C or below
$210 Объем
1%
20°C
$215 Объем
1%
21°C
$365 Объем
1%
22°C
$1 Объем
18%
23°C
$0 Объем
18%
24°C
$9 Объем
19%
25°C
$0 Объем
20%
26°C
$0 Объем
20%
27°C
$0 Объем
32%
28°C
$1 Объем
20%
29°C or higher
$5 Объем
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 32% implied probability for Shenzhen's highest temperature reaching exactly 27°C on April 2, closely tracking recent forecast ensembles from global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project daily maxima in the 24–28°C range amid a warmer-than-average late March trend—March 29 observed 27°C under partly cloudy skies. High uncertainty stems from model spreads driven by variable cloud cover, potential light showers, and southerly wind patterns in this subtropical coastal region, where overcast conditions could suppress highs toward 24–25°C (19.5% each), while clearer skies might push toward 28–29°C or higher (19.5–20.5%). Key variables include convective activity and frontal passages; watch China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs by April 1 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Объем
$806Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 32% implied probability for Shenzhen's highest temperature reaching exactly 27°C on April 2, closely tracking recent forecast ensembles from global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project daily maxima in the 24–28°C range amid a warmer-than-average late March trend—March 29 observed 27°C under partly cloudy skies. High uncertainty stems from model spreads driven by variable cloud cover, potential light showers, and southerly wind patterns in this subtropical coastal region, where overcast conditions could suppress highs toward 24–25°C (19.5% each), while clearer skies might push toward 28–29°C or higher (19.5–20.5%). Key variables include convective activity and frontal passages; watch China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs by April 1 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$806Дата окончания
Apr 2, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 32% implied probability for Shenzhen's highest temperature reaching exactly 27°C on April 2, closely tracking recent forecast ensembles from global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project daily maxima in the 24–28°C range amid a warmer-than-average late March trend—March 29 observed 27°C under partly cloudy skies. High uncertainty stems from model spreads driven by variable cloud cover, potential light showers, and southerly wind patterns in this subtropical coastal region, where overcast conditions could suppress highs toward 24–25°C (19.5% each), while clearer skies might push toward 28–29°C or higher (19.5–20.5%). Key variables include convective activity and frontal passages; watch China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs by April 1 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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