Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 3 around 27°C, with model spreads of 24–30°C reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and southwesterly winds that could enhance sea breeze cooling or allow greater daytime heating under a subtropical ridge. Trader consensus shows 30°C or higher edging out at 40.5% implied probability due to recent late-March warming (27–28°C peaks) and urban heat island effects boosting some hotter model members, while 27°C at 31% captures the mean outlook amid 70–80% relative humidity potentially capping peaks. Early April climatology averages 26°C highs, but daily updates through April 1–2 may sharpen resolution based on Bao'an Airport observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 3?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 3?
30°C or higher 49%
26°C 22%
28°C 22%
29°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
17%
23°C
16%
24°C
18%
25°C
22%
26°C
21%
27°C
22%
28°C
21%
29°C
19%
30°C or higher
49%
30°C or higher 49%
26°C 22%
28°C 22%
29°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
20°C or below
$233 Объем
1%
21°C
$186 Объем
1%
22°C
$5 Объем
17%
23°C
$5 Объем
16%
24°C
$5 Объем
18%
25°C
$5 Объем
22%
26°C
$5 Объем
21%
27°C
$19 Объем
22%
28°C
$14 Объем
21%
29°C
$5 Объем
19%
30°C or higher
$5 Объем
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 3 around 27°C, with model spreads of 24–30°C reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and southwesterly winds that could enhance sea breeze cooling or allow greater daytime heating under a subtropical ridge. Trader consensus shows 30°C or higher edging out at 40.5% implied probability due to recent late-March warming (27–28°C peaks) and urban heat island effects boosting some hotter model members, while 27°C at 31% captures the mean outlook amid 70–80% relative humidity potentially capping peaks. Early April climatology averages 26°C highs, but daily updates through April 1–2 may sharpen resolution based on Bao'an Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Объем
$487Дата окончания
Apr 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 3 around 27°C, with model spreads of 24–30°C reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and southwesterly winds that could enhance sea breeze cooling or allow greater daytime heating under a subtropical ridge. Trader consensus shows 30°C or higher edging out at 40.5% implied probability due to recent late-March warming (27–28°C peaks) and urban heat island effects boosting some hotter model members, while 27°C at 31% captures the mean outlook amid 70–80% relative humidity potentially capping peaks. Early April climatology averages 26°C highs, but daily updates through April 1–2 may sharpen resolution based on Bao'an Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$487Дата окончания
Apr 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 3 around 27°C, with model spreads of 24–30°C reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and southwesterly winds that could enhance sea breeze cooling or allow greater daytime heating under a subtropical ridge. Trader consensus shows 30°C or higher edging out at 40.5% implied probability due to recent late-March warming (27–28°C peaks) and urban heat island effects boosting some hotter model members, while 27°C at 31% captures the mean outlook amid 70–80% relative humidity potentially capping peaks. Early April climatology averages 26°C highs, but daily updates through April 1–2 may sharpen resolution based on Bao'an Airport observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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