Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on April 8, with models clustering around 25–29°C amid a warming spring trend. The Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau's April 4 update projects a 29°C high, continuing the pattern from 26°C on April 4–5 to 28–29°C mid-week, driven by subtropical ridging and increasing solar insolation. However, high humidity (80–95%) and potential late-day sprinkles or isolated thunderstorms—per TimeAndDate and Weather.com ensembles at 27–28°C—could cap peaks via cloud cover and sea breezes from the South China Sea. Key differentiators include convective activity timing and boundary layer mixing; clearer skies favor 28–29°C, while persistent overcast tilts toward 25–26°C. Daily CMA updates through April 7 will sharpen resolution odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 8?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 8?
28°C 21%
26°C 20%
25°C 20%
29°C 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
20%
26°C
20%
27°C
18%
28°C
21%
29°C
19%
30°C
14%
31°C or higher
14%
28°C 21%
26°C 20%
25°C 20%
29°C 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$185 Объем
2%
22°C
$269 Объем
1%
23°C
$255 Объем
2%
24°C
$1 Объем
3%
25°C
$27 Объем
20%
26°C
$0 Объем
20%
27°C
$0 Объем
18%
28°C
$0 Объем
21%
29°C
$3 Объем
19%
30°C
$1 Объем
14%
31°C or higher
$10 Объем
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on April 8, with models clustering around 25–29°C amid a warming spring trend. The Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau's April 4 update projects a 29°C high, continuing the pattern from 26°C on April 4–5 to 28–29°C mid-week, driven by subtropical ridging and increasing solar insolation. However, high humidity (80–95%) and potential late-day sprinkles or isolated thunderstorms—per TimeAndDate and Weather.com ensembles at 27–28°C—could cap peaks via cloud cover and sea breezes from the South China Sea. Key differentiators include convective activity timing and boundary layer mixing; clearer skies favor 28–29°C, while persistent overcast tilts toward 25–26°C. Daily CMA updates through April 7 will sharpen resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Объем
$752Дата окончания
8 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on April 8, with models clustering around 25–29°C amid a warming spring trend. The Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau's April 4 update projects a 29°C high, continuing the pattern from 26°C on April 4–5 to 28–29°C mid-week, driven by subtropical ridging and increasing solar insolation. However, high humidity (80–95%) and potential late-day sprinkles or isolated thunderstorms—per TimeAndDate and Weather.com ensembles at 27–28°C—could cap peaks via cloud cover and sea breezes from the South China Sea. Key differentiators include convective activity timing and boundary layer mixing; clearer skies favor 28–29°C, while persistent overcast tilts toward 25–26°C. Daily CMA updates through April 7 will sharpen resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$752Дата окончания
8 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on April 8, with models clustering around 25–29°C amid a warming spring trend. The Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau's April 4 update projects a 29°C high, continuing the pattern from 26°C on April 4–5 to 28–29°C mid-week, driven by subtropical ridging and increasing solar insolation. However, high humidity (80–95%) and potential late-day sprinkles or isolated thunderstorms—per TimeAndDate and Weather.com ensembles at 27–28°C—could cap peaks via cloud cover and sea breezes from the South China Sea. Key differentiators include convective activity timing and boundary layer mixing; clearer skies favor 28–29°C, while persistent overcast tilts toward 25–26°C. Daily CMA updates through April 7 will sharpen resolution odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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